L’École des cotes

Athletic Bilbao v Barcelona

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Athletic Bilbao (Local)

Prévision 20.38%4.91cote équitable
EV +0.249%
Avantage +0.051%
Kelly +0.063%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.46%20.37%20.47%21.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.664.704.9223.81%21.46%21.28%20.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Barcelona (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.68%1.73cote équitable
EV -0.785%
Avantage -0.456%
Kelly -1.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.21%57.63%57.59%59.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.651.651.7263.69%60.77%60.61%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.94%4.56cote équitable
EV -0.827%
Avantage -0.183%
Kelly -0.235%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.01%22.00%21.95%24.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.224.204.5228.57%23.71%23.81%22.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet4.92I 20.33%NM 19.73%EV +0.249%E +0.051%K +0.063%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.46%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.81%EV -2.36%E -0.531%K -0.685%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 19:54
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.94%EV -0.159%E -0.032%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.80%EV -0.785%E -0.456%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-07 19:20
Marathon Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.86%EV -0.159%E -0.032%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.27%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.87%EV -2.36%E -0.531%K -0.685%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-07 19:50
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%EV -0.159%E -0.032%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09%EV -1.94%E -1.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 19:19
Svenska Spel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%EV -0.159%E -0.032%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09%EV -1.94%E -1.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 19:19
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV -0.159%E -0.032%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.38%EV -3.09%E -1.84%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 19:19
FanDuel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.46%EV -0.159%E -0.032%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.87%EV -6.55%E -4.05%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 19:54
Parions Sport (FR)4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -1.18%E -0.243%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.30%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 19:50
Pinnacle4.83I 20.70%NM 20.04%EV -1.59%E -0.328%K -0.414%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.31%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.65%EV -1.92%E -0.430%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 19:54
LowVig.ag4.82I 20.75%NM 20.05%EV -1.79%E -0.371%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.57%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.38%EV -0.827%E -0.183%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 17:19
BetOnline.ag4.82I 20.75%NM 20.05%EV -1.79%E -0.371%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.57%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.38%EV -0.827%E -0.183%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 17:19
Bet Victor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.78%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 19:54
Tipico (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.93%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 19:50
Grosvenor4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 19:54
TABtouch4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 19:54
betPARX4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 19:54
Bally Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.42%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 19:54
Unibet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -12.24%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 19:19
Casumo4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -12.24%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 19:19
PMU (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -2.20%E -0.458%K -0.578%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.64%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.65%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 19:55
BetUS4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.22%E -0.677%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.06%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 19:54
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10%EV -3.22%E -0.677%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.86%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.05%EV -5.00%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 19:49
Sky Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.22%E -0.677%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.09%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -1.27%E -0.281%K -0.362%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 19:49
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -3.22%E -0.677%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.73%EV -5.00%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:49
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -3.22%E -0.677%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.73%EV -5.00%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 19:54
BetRivers4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -3.22%E -0.677%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -12.24%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:19
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -3.22%E -0.677%K -0.857%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -7.71%E -4.82%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 19:49
DraftKings4.70I 21.28%NM 20.48%EV -4.23%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.64%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.88%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 19:49
NordicBet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -4.23%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -3.09%E -1.84%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -6.75%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 19:44
Betsson4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -4.23%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -3.09%E -1.84%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -6.75%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 19:45
Codere (IT)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%EV -4.23%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.50%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -5.65%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 19:55
LeoVegas4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -4.23%E -0.901%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.14%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.29%EV -13.33%E -3.38%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 19:20
Betclic (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.39%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 19:04
theScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.39%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 19:54
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.24%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -6.75%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:54
Unibet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.24%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -6.75%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:54
TAB4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -1.27%E -0.281%K -0.362%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 19:00
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.83%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -5.65%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 19:10
Coral4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:54
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -3.67%E -2.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:54
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.56%EV -5.40%E -3.29%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -3.46%E -0.786%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:44
Betr (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:55
NetBet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.13%EV -5.98%E -3.67%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 19:44
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -12.24%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 19:54
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -12.24%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 19:50
PlayUp4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.83%EV -5.98%E -3.67%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 19:44
LiveScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.34%EV -5.98%E -3.67%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -13.33%E -3.38%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:55
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.65%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.33%E -3.38%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 19:54
Winamax (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.31%EV -6.55%E -4.05%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV -5.65%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 19:54
Neds4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 19:55
Bet Right4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -4.82%E -2.92%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.04%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 19:54
Fliff4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.71%EV -7.13%E -4.43%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.54%EV -11.14%E -2.75%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 19:54
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -11.77%E -2.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.64%EV -1.94%E -1.14%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -7.85%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 19:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.02%EV -11.77%E -2.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.21%EV -9.44%E -6.01%K -16.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.77%EV -23.21%E -6.63%K -9.28%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-07 19:54
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -14.42%E -3.43%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -6.55%E -4.05%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -12.24%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-07 19:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.20%1.69I 59.17%NM 59.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.71%0.1%2026-03-07 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-03-07 19:50
Matchbook5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-03-07 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.9%2026-03-07 19:55
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 18.85%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.36%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.79%0.9%2026-03-07 19:55
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.15%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.48%1.2%2026-03-07 19:55