Школа коэффициентов

Alavés v Rayo Vallecano

Начало: 2026-05-23 19:00 UTC

Итог: Alavés 1–2 Rayo Vallecano

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

57 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Alavés (Хозяева)

Прогноз 44.77%2.23справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.62%
Преимущество +0.712%
Kelly +1.27%
Рост +0.021%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.27

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.75%44.69%44.76%46.20%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.122.102.2750.00%47.17%47.62%44.05%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Rayo Vallecano (Гости)

Прогноз 26.67%3.75справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.36%
Преимущество +0.358%
Kelly +0.485%
Рост +0.007%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.80

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.63%26.73%26.68%28.29%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.483.503.8031.25%28.71%28.57%26.32%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.56%3.50справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.46%
Преимущество -0.424%
Kelly -0.597%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.45

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.75%28.58%28.55%30.53%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.273.303.4535.71%30.54%30.30%28.99%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.88%EV +1.62%E +0.712%K +1.27%G +0.021%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.97%EV -7.18%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.14%EV -4.60%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-23 18:40
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 44.13%EV -0.174%E -0.078%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%EV -1.46%E -0.424%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 44.13%EV -0.174%E -0.078%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%EV -1.46%E -0.424%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-23 18:49
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 44.13%EV -0.174%E -0.078%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%EV -1.46%E -0.424%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -1.52%E -0.689%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 18:48
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:49
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 43.95%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.68%EV -4.60%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 18:39
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.75%EV -3.31%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV +0.025%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV -6.32%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:49
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.75%EV -3.31%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV +0.025%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV -6.32%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.63%EV +1.36%E +0.358%K +0.485%G +0.007%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-23 18:48
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.07%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.26%EV -1.58%E -0.427%K -0.586%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.67%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.05%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.46%EV -2.38%E -0.649%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:49
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 18:48
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:49
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:49
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 18:39
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 18:39
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.70%EV -4.65%E -2.18%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -5.10%E -2.40%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 18:49
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -5.10%E -2.40%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Bovada2.11I 47.39%NM 44.90%EV -5.55%E -2.63%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -2.64%E -0.724%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:48
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.57%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%EV -1.31%E -0.354%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 18:48
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 18:39
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 18:49
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 18:49
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 18:49
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:49
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:49
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -6.89%E -3.31%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 18:49
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -6.89%E -3.31%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -13.31%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -7.34%E -3.54%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 18:49
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -7.34%E -3.54%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 43.51%EV -7.78%E -3.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -13.31%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.23%E -4.02%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:49
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.23%E -4.02%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.23%E -4.02%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.23%E -4.02%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -10.47%E -5.23%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.81%EV -4.51%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 18:48
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.47%E -5.23%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -10.47%E -5.23%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -14.64%E -4.58%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -20.03%E -7.15%K -11.13%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 44.26%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.32%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.42%-0.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.48%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%0.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.48%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%0.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.48%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%0.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-23 18:49