مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alavés v Rayo Vallecano

البداية: 2026-05-23 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Alavés 1–2 Rayo Vallecano

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alavés (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.77%2.23السعر العادل
EV +1.62%
الأفضلية +0.712%
Kelly +1.27%
النمو +0.021%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.27

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.75%44.69%44.76%46.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.122.102.2750.00%47.17%47.62%44.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Rayo Vallecano (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.67%3.75السعر العادل
EV +1.36%
الأفضلية +0.358%
Kelly +0.485%
النمو +0.007%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.63%26.73%26.68%28.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.483.503.8031.25%28.71%28.57%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.56%3.50السعر العادل
EV -1.46%
الأفضلية -0.424%
Kelly -0.597%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.75%28.58%28.55%30.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.273.303.4535.71%30.54%30.30%28.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.88%EV +1.62%E +0.712%K +1.27%G +0.021%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.97%EV -7.18%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.14%EV -4.60%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-23 18:40
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 44.13%EV -0.174%E -0.078%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%EV -1.46%E -0.424%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 44.13%EV -0.174%E -0.078%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%EV -1.46%E -0.424%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-23 18:49
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 44.13%EV -0.174%E -0.078%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%EV -1.46%E -0.424%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -1.52%E -0.689%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 18:48
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:49
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 43.95%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.68%EV -4.60%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 18:39
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.75%EV -3.31%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV +0.025%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV -6.32%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:49
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.75%EV -3.31%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV +0.025%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV -6.32%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.63%EV +1.36%E +0.358%K +0.485%G +0.007%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-23 18:48
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.07%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.26%EV -1.58%E -0.427%K -0.586%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.67%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.05%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.46%EV -2.38%E -0.649%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:49
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 18:48
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:49
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:49
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 18:39
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 18:39
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.70%EV -4.65%E -2.18%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -5.10%E -2.40%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 18:49
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -5.10%E -2.40%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Bovada2.11I 47.39%NM 44.90%EV -5.55%E -2.63%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -2.64%E -0.724%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:48
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.57%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%EV -1.31%E -0.354%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 18:48
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 18:39
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 18:49
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 18:49
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 18:49
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:49
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:49
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -6.89%E -3.31%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 18:49
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -6.89%E -3.31%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -13.31%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -7.34%E -3.54%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 18:49
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -7.34%E -3.54%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 43.51%EV -7.78%E -3.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -13.31%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.23%E -4.02%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:49
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.23%E -4.02%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.23%E -4.02%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.23%E -4.02%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -10.47%E -5.23%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.81%EV -4.51%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 18:48
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.47%E -5.23%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -10.47%E -5.23%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -14.64%E -4.58%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -20.03%E -7.15%K -11.13%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-23 18:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 44.26%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.32%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.42%-0.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.48%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%0.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.48%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%0.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.48%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%0.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-23 18:49