A Escola das Odds

Alavés v Rayo Vallecano

Início: 2026-05-23 19:00 UTC

Final: Alavés 1–2 Rayo Vallecano

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alavés (Local)

Previsão 44.77%2.23odd justa
EV +1.62%
Vantagem +0.712%
Kelly +1.27%
Crescimento +0.021%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.75%44.69%44.76%46.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.122.102.2750.00%47.17%47.62%44.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rayo Vallecano (Visitante)

Previsão 26.67%3.75odd justa
EV +1.36%
Vantagem +0.358%
Kelly +0.485%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.63%26.73%26.68%28.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.483.503.8031.25%28.71%28.57%26.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.56%3.50odd justa
EV -1.46%
Vantagem -0.424%
Kelly -0.597%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.75%28.58%28.55%30.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.273.303.4535.71%30.54%30.30%28.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.88%EV +1.62%E +0.712%K +1.27%G +0.021%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.97%EV -7.18%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.14%EV -4.60%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-23 18:40
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 44.13%EV -0.174%E -0.078%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%EV -1.46%E -0.424%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 44.13%EV -0.174%E -0.078%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%EV -1.46%E -0.424%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-23 18:49
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 44.13%EV -0.174%E -0.078%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%EV -1.46%E -0.424%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -1.52%E -0.689%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 18:48
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:49
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 43.95%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.68%EV -4.60%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 18:39
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.75%EV -3.31%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV +0.025%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV -6.32%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:49
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.75%EV -3.31%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV +0.025%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV -6.32%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.63%EV +1.36%E +0.358%K +0.485%G +0.007%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-23 18:48
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.07%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.26%EV -1.58%E -0.427%K -0.586%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.67%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.05%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.46%EV -2.38%E -0.649%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 18:49
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 18:48
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:49
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 18:49
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 18:39
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 18:49
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 18:39
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 44.70%EV -4.65%E -2.18%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -5.10%E -2.40%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 18:49
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.84%EV -5.10%E -2.40%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -5.31%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 18:49
Bovada2.11I 47.39%NM 44.90%EV -5.55%E -2.63%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -2.64%E -0.724%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:48
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.57%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%EV -1.31%E -0.354%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -7.98%E -2.31%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -4.32%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 18:48
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 18:39
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 18:49
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 18:49
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 18:49
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 18:39
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 18:49
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:49
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:49
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -6.89%E -3.31%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -11.98%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-23 18:49
PMU (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -6.89%E -3.31%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -13.31%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -7.34%E -3.54%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 18:49
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -7.34%E -3.54%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 18:49
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 43.51%EV -7.78%E -3.78%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -13.31%E -4.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.23%E -4.02%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.98%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 18:49
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.23%E -4.02%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 18:49
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -8.23%E -4.02%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-23 18:49
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.23%E -4.02%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-23 18:49
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -10.47%E -5.23%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.81%EV -4.51%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 18:48
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -10.47%E -5.23%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.18%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-23 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -10.47%E -5.23%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -14.64%E -4.58%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -20.03%E -7.15%K -11.13%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 44.26%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.32%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.42%-0.0%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.48%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%0.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.48%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%0.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.48%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.30%0.4%2026-05-23 18:49
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-05-23 18:49
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-05-23 18:49