Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alavés v Getafe

2026-08-15 17:30 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alavés (Local)

Prediction 39.90%2.51fair odd
EV -0.258%
Edge -0.103%
Kelly -0.172%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.62%39.94%39.93%41.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.352.5045.45%42.38%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Getafe (Visit)

Prediction 26.65%3.75fair odd
EV +0.719%
Edge +0.190%
Kelly +0.259%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.18%26.63%26.56%28.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.473.443.7830.77%28.85%29.07%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 33.46%2.99fair odd
EV +0.374%
Edge +0.125%
Kelly +0.187%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%33.43%33.51%34.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.812.803.0038.46%35.55%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alavés (Local): 39.90%; Getafe (Visit): 26.65%; Draw: 33.46%. For Getafe (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.78, producing a positive expected value of +0.719%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 40.33%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.18%EV +0.719%E +0.190%K +0.259%G +0.002%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.49%EV -7.66%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 08:15
Bovada2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.84%E -2.48%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -0.081%E -0.022%K -0.029%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.42%EV -7.66%E -2.77%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 08:08
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -6.24%E -2.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -1.41%E -0.382%K -0.523%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -7.99%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 07:54
LowVig.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.11%EV -1.46%E -0.589%K -0.990%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.39%EV -2.48%E -0.677%K -0.932%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.50%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-22 15:39
BetOnline.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.11%EV -1.46%E -0.589%K -0.990%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.39%EV -2.48%E -0.677%K -0.932%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.50%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-22 20:49
1xBet2.49I 40.16%NM 39.54%EV -0.657%E -0.264%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.97%EV -2.75%E -0.752%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.49%EV -1.63%E -0.555%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-03 12:49
Marathon Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.55%EV -2.25%E -0.920%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.53%EV -3.31%E -1.14%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 12:42
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 39.96%EV -4.65%E -1.94%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.51%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 11:25
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -8.24%E -3.58%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 19:35
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.97%EV -0.258%E -0.103%K -0.172%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.44%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.59%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-27 08:06
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.97%EV -0.258%E -0.103%K -0.172%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.44%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.59%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-27 08:06
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.97%EV -0.258%E -0.103%K -0.172%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.44%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.59%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-27 08:05
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.97%EV -0.258%E -0.103%K -0.172%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.44%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.59%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-27 08:06
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -7.44%E -3.21%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -0.295%E -0.099%K -0.149%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 20:30
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -7.44%E -3.21%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.01%EV -0.295%E -0.099%K -0.149%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 20:29
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.24%E -2.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -7.99%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 12:29
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 38.78%EV -1.06%E -0.426%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.74%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 08:05
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -4.25%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-14 12:59
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -6.24%E -2.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -1.30%E -0.440%K -0.666%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 11:29
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.25%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.99%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 08:05
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.24%E -2.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.99%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 13:19
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.24%E -2.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.99%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-14 21:04
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 08:04
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.24%E -3.58%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.99%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-01 08:04
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -3.05%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -8.07%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 08:05
Bally Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -3.05%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -8.07%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 08:05
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 38.88%EV -3.05%E -1.26%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -8.07%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 08:05
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.06%EV -9.43%E -4.16%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.51%EV -8.61%E -2.51%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.43%EV -8.99%E -3.31%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 11:18
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.374%E +0.125%K +0.187%G +0.001%4.8%2026-07-27 10:25
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -4.25%E -1.77%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 10:25
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.44%E -2.30%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -5.44%E -2.30%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -3.98%E -1.39%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-16 08:15
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.24%E -2.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-16 08:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.24%E -2.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.64%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-16 08:15
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.24%E -3.58%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -2.97%E -1.02%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:29
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.24%E -3.58%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -3.64%E -1.26%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.24%E -3.58%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -3.64%E -1.26%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 11:29
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -10.23%E -4.55%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -3.64%E -1.26%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 11:29
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.24%E -3.58%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 14:59
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.24%E -3.58%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 11:30
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.24%E -3.58%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.99%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 16:35
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.24%E -3.58%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.99%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 14:29
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.24%E -3.58%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.99%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 14:33
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -12.23%E -5.56%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-29 07:55
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -7.99%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-27 08:05
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -7.99%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-27 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -5.05%E -2.12%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -7.99%E -2.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-27 08:05
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -10.23%E -4.55%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 14:59
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -10.23%E -4.55%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -6.32%E -2.26%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 20:30
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -12.23%E -5.56%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -13.01%E -5.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-02 09:15
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -6.24%E -2.66%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 08:05
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -7.04%E -3.02%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -13.40%E -4.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -9.66%E -3.58%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-27 08:05
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.62%EV -7.44%E -3.21%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -13.40%E -4.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.81%EV -11.34%E -4.28%K -6.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-27 08:05
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.62%EV -7.44%E -3.21%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -13.40%E -4.12%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.81%EV -11.34%E -4.28%K -6.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-27 08:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 40.35%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.25%5.0%2026-08-03 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 40.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%5.1%2026-08-03 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 40.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%5.1%2026-08-03 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 40.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%5.1%2026-08-03 13:40
Arbitrage (5 combinations) +0.21%Unibet (NL) 2.50 (40.1%) / Pinnacle 3.78 (26.5%) / betfred_uk 3.00 (33.4%)Show all 5 combinations
Alavés (Local)Getafe (Visit)DrawMargin
Unibet (NL) 2.50 (40.1%)Pinnacle 3.78 (26.5%)betfred_uk 3.00 (33.4%)+0.212%
Unibet (SE) 2.50 (40.1%)Pinnacle 3.78 (26.5%)betfred_uk 3.00 (33.4%)+0.212%
Svenska Spel 2.50 (40.1%)Pinnacle 3.78 (26.5%)betfred_uk 3.00 (33.4%)+0.212%
ATG (SE) 2.50 (40.1%)Pinnacle 3.78 (26.5%)betfred_uk 3.00 (33.4%)+0.212%
1xBet 2.49 (40.2%)Pinnacle 3.78 (26.5%)betfred_uk 3.00 (33.4%)+0.051%