The School of Odds

Alavés v Getafe

2026-08-15 17:30 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Alavés (Local)

Prediction 39.97%2.50fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.518%
Kelly -0.871%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.19%40.00%39.95%40.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.122.322.302.4747%43%43%40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Getafe (Visit)

Prediction 27.09%3.69fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.456%
Kelly -0.629%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.49%27.12%27.06%27.74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.153.433.403.6332%29%29%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 32.94%3.04fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.394%
Kelly -0.590%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.38%32.88%32.99%34.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.572.842.873.0039%35%35%33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.47I 40.49%NM 39.90%EV -1.28%E -0.518%K -0.871%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 27.15%EV -1.65%E -0.456%K -0.629%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96%EV -1.51%E -0.505%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.5%2026-07-14 13:00
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.92%EV -2.88%E -1.18%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -3.01%E -0.841%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99%EV -3.16%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-14 12:59
Bovada2.41I 41.49%NM 39.28%EV -3.68%E -1.53%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -3.82%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.05%EV -8.43%E -3.03%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-14 11:28
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-14 12:59
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.77%E -2.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 11:29
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 39.46%EV -4.48%E -1.87%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.49%EV -3.55%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -8.76%E -3.16%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-14 11:29
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.18%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV -6.53%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.09%EV -1.84%E -0.617%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-14 11:29
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 40.18%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV -6.53%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.09%EV -1.84%E -0.617%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-14 11:29
Codere (IT)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.91%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -3.82%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.33%EV -6.12%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 11:29
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 11:29
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -2.83%E -0.958%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 11:29
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-14 11:29
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -6.53%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -11.06%E -4.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 11:28
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -1.18%E -0.394%K -0.590%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-14 11:30
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:29
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 11:29
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.77%E -2.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 11:29
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.42%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-14 11:29
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.42%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-14 11:29
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.07%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.42%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-14 11:28
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -10.07%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.13%E -1.78%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 11:29
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -10.07%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.59%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-14 11:29
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.07%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -9.24%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -6.12%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-14 11:29
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -10.07%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.59%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.77%E -2.77%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-14 11:29
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.42%EV -13.27%E -6.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.74%EV -11.14%E -3.40%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.85%EV -12.05%E -4.51%K -7.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-14 11:29
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -14.07%E -6.54%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -10.59%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -11.06%E -4.10%K -6.51%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-14 11:29
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 40.03%EV -15.27%E -7.20%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.94%EV -14.66%E -4.65%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.02%EV -15.34%E -5.97%K -9.77%G +0.000%17.8%2026-07-14 11:27
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.91%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.42%5.3%2026-07-14 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.91%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.42%5.3%2026-07-14 12:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.91%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.42%5.3%2026-07-14 13:00
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 39.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.80%9.7%2026-07-14 11:29