默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Alavés v Getafe

开赛时间: 2026-08-15 17:30 UTC

最终结果: Alavés 3–0 Getafe

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

58 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Alavés (主队)

预测 40.84%2.45公平赔率
EV -0.357%
优势 -0.146%
Kelly -0.248%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.44

博彩公司预测分布
39.38%40.87%40.77%42.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.312.302.4445.45%43.26%43.48%40.98%最小值均值中位数最大值

Getafe (客队)

预测 24.98%4.00公平赔率
EV +2.66%
优势 +0.648%
Kelly +0.856%
增长率 +0.023%

假设最高赔率为 4.11

博彩公司预测分布
23.59%24.95%25.12%26.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.783.804.1127.78%26.42%26.32%24.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 34.18%2.93公平赔率
EV -2.23%
优势 -0.781%
Kelly -1.20%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.86

博彩公司预测分布
33.21%34.17%34.11%35.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.632.752.752.8638.02%36.37%36.36%34.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Alavés (主队):40.84%;Getafe (客队):24.98%;平局:34.18%。 对于“Getafe (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.00。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.11,对应+2.66%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (58 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.52%EV -6.89%E -3.02%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.59%EV +2.66%E +0.648%K +0.856%G +0.023%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.90%EV -2.23%E -0.781%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 17:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.44%EV -4.85%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.08%EV +0.165%E +0.041%K +0.055%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-15 17:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.44%EV -4.85%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.08%EV +0.165%E +0.041%K +0.055%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.48%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-15 17:19
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.21%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.21%EV -0.085%E -0.021%K -0.028%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 17:20
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -0.085%E -0.021%K -0.028%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 17:24
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -0.085%E -0.021%K -0.028%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.57%EV -1.99%E -0.829%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.65%EV -1.33%E -0.338%K -0.452%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-15 17:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.57%EV -1.99%E -0.829%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.65%EV -1.33%E -0.338%K -0.452%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-15 17:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.57%EV -1.99%E -0.829%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.65%EV -1.33%E -0.338%K -0.452%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.78%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-15 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.57%EV -1.33%E -0.338%K -0.452%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.66%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 17:19
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV -2.58%E -0.662%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.37%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 17:25
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.70%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.52%EV -2.58%E -0.662%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.78%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 17:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%EV -2.58%E -0.662%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.07%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 17:25
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.22%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -2.58%E -0.662%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.47%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 17:19
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -2.58%E -0.662%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 17:19
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.77%EV -0.357%E -0.146%K -0.248%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -3.83%E -0.995%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.03%EV -5.31%E -1.92%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.19%EV -1.58%E -0.657%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.22%EV -4.08%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.59%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 17:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.93%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.31%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.75%EV -2.58%E -0.904%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 06:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.38%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.33%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 05:59
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 17:24
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 17:23
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 17:25
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -4.85%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 17:20
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -4.85%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 17:19
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -4.85%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 17:20
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.39%EV -4.85%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 17:20
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 17:24
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 17:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 17:19
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.23%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -10.10%E -3.84%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 17:25
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -1.99%E -0.829%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 17:25
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.35%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -5.65%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 17:23
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 17:15
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 17:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 17:19
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.56%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 17:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 17:15
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 17:10
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.01%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.57%EV -7.02%E -2.58%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 17:24
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.01%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.57%EV -7.02%E -2.58%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 17:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.38%EV -6.89%E -3.02%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -9.41%E -3.55%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.38%EV -6.89%E -3.02%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -9.41%E -3.55%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 17:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.32%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 17:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.32%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 17:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.61%EV -7.30%E -3.22%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 17:25
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -6.89%E -3.02%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.41%E -3.55%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -6.89%E -3.02%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.41%E -3.55%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 17:19
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.44%EV -9.41%E -3.55%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 17:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -1.99%E -0.829%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 15:54
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 17:24
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 17:09
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 17:24
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 17:05
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 17:24
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 17:24
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 25.00%2.94I 34.01%NM 34.01%-0.0%2026-08-15 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%0.5%2026-08-15 17:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%0.5%2026-08-15 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%0.5%2026-08-15 17:25
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.48%0.7%2026-08-15 17:25
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.57%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.37%1.0%2026-08-15 17:25