L’École des cotes

Alavés v Getafe

2026-08-15 17:30 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alavés (Local)

Prévision 39.74%2.52cote équitable
EV -0.658%
Avantage -0.263%
Kelly -0.439%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.63%39.68%39.78%40.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.352.352.5046.51%42.63%42.55%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Getafe (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.84%3.73cote équitable
EV -0.709%
Avantage -0.192%
Kelly -0.262%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.51%26.78%26.91%27.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.463.403.7030.30%28.93%29.41%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 33.43%2.99cote équitable
EV -1.39%
Avantage -0.471%
Kelly -0.712%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.98%33.54%33.30%35.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.572.802.802.9538.91%35.66%35.71%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 39.38%EV -0.658%E -0.263%K -0.439%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 27.12%EV -2.59%E -0.713%K -0.984%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.49%EV -1.72%E -0.586%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-25 07:14
LowVig.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.11%EV -1.85%E -0.749%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.39%EV -1.78%E -0.487%K -0.670%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.50%EV -6.40%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-22 15:39
BetOnline.ag2.47I 40.49%NM 39.11%EV -1.85%E -0.749%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.39%EV -1.78%E -0.487%K -0.670%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.50%EV -6.40%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-22 20:49
Marathon Bet2.46I 40.65%NM 39.40%EV -2.25%E -0.914%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.07%EV -3.93%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.53%EV -3.39%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 07:10
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 38.88%EV -2.64%E -1.08%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -2.05%E -0.562%K -0.774%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.02%EV -9.08%E -3.34%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 20:20
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 38.69%EV -2.64%E -1.08%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.39%E -0.942%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.98%EV -9.41%E -3.47%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-19 20:17
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -4.63%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-14 12:59
Codere (IT)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.71%EV -4.63%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.85%EV -4.73%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -4.73%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 14:35
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -4.63%E -1.93%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.40%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 00:25
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.92%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -2.39%E -0.819%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 19:10
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.92%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -2.39%E -0.819%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 19:09
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -3.73%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 11:29
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.07%E -2.94%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-19 00:25
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.43%E -2.28%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -12.42%E -4.74%K -7.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 22:45
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.82%E -2.46%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -5.82%E -2.46%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -4.06%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-16 08:15
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -1.39%E -0.471%K -0.712%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-14 11:29
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-14 11:29
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -0.709%E -0.192%K -0.262%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -8.07%E -2.94%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 20:25
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.73%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-16 08:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.73%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-16 08:15
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.07%E -2.94%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-14 21:04
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -6.62%E -2.82%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -13.09%E -5.03%K -8.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 13:49
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 19:20
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 11:29
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -3.73%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -3.73%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-14 11:29
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.40%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 11:30
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -10.10%E -3.02%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.40%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 06:35
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.07%E -2.94%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 16:35
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.07%E -2.94%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 14:35
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.07%E -2.94%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 14:29
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.07%E -2.94%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 14:33
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.61%E -3.74%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.44%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.07%E -2.94%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 19:15
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -10.59%E -4.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.76%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -3.73%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-14 11:29
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.59%E -4.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.44%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.07%E -2.94%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 14:35
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.04%EV -11.39%E -5.11%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -10.10%E -3.02%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.31%EV -10.41%E -3.89%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-24 14:34
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 39.42%EV -11.78%E -5.31%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.44%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.05%EV -14.09%E -5.48%K -8.97%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-25 07:00
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -14.57%E -6.77%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -11.44%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-24 14:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.15%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09%4.8%2026-07-26 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.15%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09%4.8%2026-07-26 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.15%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09%4.8%2026-07-26 02:00
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 39.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.01%5.8%2026-07-26 02:25