赔率学院

Atlético Madrid v Real Sociedad

开赛时间: 2026-04-18 19:04 UTC

最终结果: Atlético Madrid 2–2 Real Sociedad

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Atlético Madrid (主队)

预测 51.91%1.93公平赔率
EV -3.96%
优势 -2.14%
Kelly -4.66%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
49.95%51.84%51.86%53.33%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.721.801.801.8558.14%55.54%55.56%54.05%MIN均值中位数MAX

Real Sociedad (客队)

预测 23.08%4.33公平赔率
EV +5.50%
优势 +1.20%
Kelly +1.54%
增长率 +0.085%

假设最高赔率为 4.57

博彩公司预测分布
21.19%23.17%23.17%24.59%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.754.104.104.5726.67%24.37%24.39%21.88%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 25.00%4.00公平赔率
EV -2.49%
优势 -0.639%
Kelly -0.859%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.90

博彩公司预测分布
24.20%24.99%24.97%27.00%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.203.703.753.9031.25%27.02%26.67%25.64%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.20%EV -5.52%E -3.03%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.19%EV +5.50%E +1.20%K +1.54%G +0.085%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.61%EV -5.49%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-18 18:59
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.46%EV -3.96%E -2.14%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.46%EV -0.274%E -0.063%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.08%EV -3.24%E -0.838%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 18:59
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -3.96%E -2.14%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44%EV -0.736%E -0.171%K -0.223%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 19:00
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -3.96%E -2.14%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44%EV -0.736%E -0.171%K -0.223%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 19:00
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.71%EV -6.04%E -3.34%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -0.736%E -0.171%K -0.223%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 18:57
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.26%EV -5.52%E -3.03%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.26%EV -5.52%E -3.03%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 19:01
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.26%EV -5.52%E -3.03%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 19:00
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -8.11%E -4.58%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.04%E -0.725%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -2.49%E -0.639%K -0.859%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 19:00
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.04%E -0.725%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 19:00
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.04%E -0.725%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 19:00
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.04%E -0.725%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 18:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.04%E -0.725%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 19:00
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.04%E -0.725%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.04%E -0.725%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -7.59%E -4.27%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -3.04%E -0.725%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 19:00
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -5.35%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 19:00
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.42%EV -9.67%E -5.56%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -5.35%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 19:00
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 19:01
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 19:00
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 18:59
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 19:01
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 19:00
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -5.52%E -3.03%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 19:00
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 19:01
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 19:01
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -7.59%E -4.27%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 19:01
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.23%EV -10.71%E -6.23%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.23%EV -10.71%E -6.23%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 19:01
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -3.96%E -2.14%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 19:00
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 19:00
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -13.43%E -3.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.95%EV -10.19%E -5.89%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.04%EV -13.43%E -3.58%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -19.99%E -6.25%K -9.09%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-18 19:01
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.58%0.2%2026-04-18 19:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.58%0.2%2026-04-18 19:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.5%2026-04-18 19:01