A Escola das OddsAtlético Madrid v Real Sociedad
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Atlético Madrid (Local)
Previsão 51.91%1.93odd justa
EV -3.96%
Vantagem -2.14%
Kelly -4.66%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.95%51.84%51.86%53.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.721.801.801.8558.14%55.54%55.56%54.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Real Sociedad (Visitante)
Previsão 23.08%4.33odd justa
EV +5.50%
Vantagem +1.20%
Kelly +1.54%
Crescimento +0.085%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.57
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.19%23.17%23.17%24.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.104.104.5726.67%24.37%24.39%21.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 25.00%4.00odd justa
EV -2.49%
Vantagem -0.639%
Kelly -0.859%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.20%24.99%24.97%27.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.703.753.9031.25%27.02%26.67%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (33 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.20%EV -5.52%E -3.03%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.19%EV +5.50%E +1.20%K +1.54%G +0.085% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.61%EV -5.49%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-18 18:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.46%EV -3.96%E -2.14%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.46%EV -0.274%E -0.063%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 25.08%EV -3.24%E -0.838%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-18 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -3.96%E -2.14%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44%EV -0.736%E -0.171%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -3.96%E -2.14%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44%EV -0.736%E -0.171%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.71%EV -6.04%E -3.34%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -0.736%E -0.171%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 18:57 |
| Unibet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.26%EV -5.52%E -3.03%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.26%EV -5.52%E -3.03%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 19:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.26%EV -5.52%E -3.03%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -8.11%E -4.58%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.04%E -0.725%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -2.49%E -0.639%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.04%E -0.725%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.04%E -0.725%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.04%E -0.725%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 18:59 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.04%E -0.725%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.04%E -0.725%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.04%E -0.725%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -7.59%E -4.27%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -3.04%E -0.725%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -5.35%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.42%EV -9.67%E -5.56%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -5.35%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 19:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 18:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 19:01 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -5.52%E -3.03%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 19:01 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 19:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -7.59%E -4.27%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 19:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.23%EV -10.71%E -6.23%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.23%EV -10.71%E -6.23%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 19:01 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -3.96%E -2.14%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -13.43%E -3.58%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.95%EV -10.19%E -5.89%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.04%EV -13.43%E -3.58%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -19.99%E -6.25%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-18 19:01 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (3)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.58% | 0.2% | 2026-04-18 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.58% | 0.2% | 2026-04-18 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 19:01 |