L’École des cotesFrançais
Atlético Madrid v Real Sociedad
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Atlético Madrid (Local)
Prévision 51.91%1.93cote équitable
EV -3.96%
Avantage -2.14%
Kelly -4.66%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.95%51.84%51.86%53.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.801.801.8558.14%55.54%55.56%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Real Sociedad (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.08%4.33cote équitable
EV +5.50%
Avantage +1.20%
Kelly +1.54%
Croissance +0.085%
avec la cote maximale 4.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.19%23.17%23.17%24.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.104.104.5726.67%24.37%24.39%21.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.00%4.00cote équitable
EV -2.49%
Avantage -0.639%
Kelly -0.859%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.20%24.99%24.97%27.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.703.753.9031.25%27.02%26.67%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.20%EV -5.52%E -3.03%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.19%EV +5.50%E +1.20%K +1.54%G +0.085% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.61%EV -5.49%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-18 18:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.46%EV -3.96%E -2.14%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.46%EV -0.274%E -0.063%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 25.08%EV -3.24%E -0.838%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-18 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -3.96%E -2.14%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44%EV -0.736%E -0.171%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.16%EV -3.96%E -2.14%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.44%EV -0.736%E -0.171%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.40%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.71%EV -6.04%E -3.34%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -0.736%E -0.171%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 18:57 |
| Unibet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.26%EV -5.52%E -3.03%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.26%EV -5.52%E -3.03%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 19:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.26%EV -5.52%E -3.03%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.38%EV -1.89%E -0.445%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -8.11%E -4.58%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.04%E -0.725%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -2.49%E -0.639%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.04%E -0.725%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -3.04%E -0.725%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.04%E -0.725%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 18:59 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.04%E -0.725%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.04%E -0.725%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.04%E -0.725%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -7.59%E -4.27%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -3.04%E -0.725%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.74%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.87%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -5.35%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.42%EV -9.67%E -5.56%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -5.35%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 19:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.00%E -2.73%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 18:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 19:01 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -5.52%E -3.03%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 19:01 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 19:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -7.59%E -4.27%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 19:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.23%EV -10.71%E -6.23%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.23%EV -10.71%E -6.23%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 19:01 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -3.96%E -2.14%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.24%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.15%E -5.23%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.99%E -2.78%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 19:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -6.56%E -3.64%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -13.43%E -3.58%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -7.49%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.95%EV -10.19%E -5.89%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.04%EV -13.43%E -3.58%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -19.99%E -6.25%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-18 19:01 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.58% | 0.2% | 2026-04-18 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.24% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.58% | 0.2% | 2026-04-18 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.85% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53% | 0.5% | 2026-04-18 19:01 |