Language:English
Al-Shabab v Al-Okhdood
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Shabab (Local)
Prediction 73.79%1.36fair odd
EV -5.54%
Edge -4.33%
Kelly -19.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.61%73.84%73.58%75.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.241.241.2883.33%80.96%80.65%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Okhdood (Visit)
Prediction 10.47%9.55fair odd
EV +9.92%
Edge +0.944%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.104%
assuming max odds 10.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.09%10.41%10.56%11.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.759.049.0010.5012.90%11.06%11.11%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.74%6.35fair odd
EV +2.29%
Edge +0.353%
Kelly +0.417%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.01%15.75%15.87%17.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.625.606.5020.00%17.79%17.86%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Shabab (Local): 73.79%; Al-Okhdood (Visit): 10.47%; Draw: 15.74%. For Al-Okhdood (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.55. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.92%.
Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.68%EV -5.54%E -4.33%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.23%EV +9.92%E +0.944%K +1.04%G +0.104% | 6.42I 15.58%NM 15.09%EV +1.04%E +0.161%K +0.191%G +0.002% | 3.2% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.76%E -6.21%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +4.68%E +0.468%K +0.520%G +0.024% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.33%EV -8.50%E -6.85%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV +4.68%E +0.468%K +0.520%G +0.024% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -11.45%E -9.54%K -57.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV +4.68%E +0.468%K +0.520%G +0.024% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -5.57%E -0.929%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -5.54%E -4.33%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -5.57%E -0.929%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.28%E -4.95%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.28%E -4.95%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.28%E -4.95%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.76%E -6.21%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.57%E -0.929%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -11.45%E -9.54%K -57.24%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -5.57%E -0.929%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.19%EV -11.45%E -9.54%K -57.24%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -21.31%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.86%EV -10.71%E -8.85%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.79%EV -3.17%E -0.343%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.35%EV -7.15%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.04%EV -7.02%E -5.57%K -27.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.76%E -6.21%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.76%E -6.21%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -11.45%E -9.54%K -57.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV +2.29%E +0.353%K +0.417%G +0.010% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.50%E -6.85%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.50%E -6.85%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.29%EV -9.23%E -7.51%K -40.14%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -15.02%E -2.78%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -11.45%E -9.54%K -57.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -7.02%E -5.57%K -27.00%G +0.000% | 8.87I 11.27%NM 10.61%EV -7.15%E -0.806%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 6.41I 15.60%NM 14.68%EV +0.878%E +0.137%K +0.162%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.88%EV -10.71%E -8.85%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.16%EV -7.88%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.96%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -9.97%E -8.17%K -45.32%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -11.02%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -21.31%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.81%EV -9.23%E -7.51%K -40.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -16.25%E -2.03%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.99%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -11.45%E -9.54%K -57.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -16.25%E -2.03%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.61%EV -9.97%E -8.17%K -45.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -16.25%E -2.03%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.47%EV -21.31%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.61%EV -9.97%E -8.17%K -45.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -16.25%E -2.03%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.47%EV -21.31%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.61%EV -9.97%E -8.17%K -45.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -16.25%E -2.03%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.47%EV -21.31%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.63%EV -7.76%E -6.21%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -18.87%E -2.43%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.65%EV -8.72%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.25% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.90% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.85% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.68% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09% | 1.4% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.68% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09% | 1.4% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.68% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09% | 1.4% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.54% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.50% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.96% | 2.4% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |