La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Al-Shabab v Al-Okhdood
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Shabab (Local)
Predicción 73.79%1.36momio equitativo
EV -5.54%
Ventaja -4.33%
Kelly -19.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.61%73.84%73.58%75.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.241.241.2883.33%80.96%80.65%78.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Okhdood (Visitante)
Predicción 10.47%9.55momio equitativo
EV +9.92%
Ventaja +0.944%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.104%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.09%10.41%10.56%11.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.759.049.0010.5012.90%11.06%11.11%9.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 15.74%6.35momio equitativo
EV +2.29%
Ventaja +0.353%
Kelly +0.417%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.01%15.75%15.87%17.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.625.606.5020.00%17.79%17.86%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (29 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.68%EV -5.54%E -4.33%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.23%EV +9.92%E +0.944%K +1.04%G +0.104% | 6.42I 15.58%NM 15.09%EV +1.04%E +0.161%K +0.191%G +0.002% | 3.2% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.76%E -6.21%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +4.68%E +0.468%K +0.520%G +0.024% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.33%EV -8.50%E -6.85%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV +4.68%E +0.468%K +0.520%G +0.024% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -11.45%E -9.54%K -57.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV +4.68%E +0.468%K +0.520%G +0.024% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -5.57%E -0.929%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -5.54%E -4.33%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -5.57%E -0.929%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.28%E -4.95%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.28%E -4.95%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.28%E -4.95%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.76%E -6.21%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.57%E -0.929%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -11.45%E -9.54%K -57.24%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -5.57%E -0.929%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.19%EV -11.45%E -9.54%K -57.24%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -21.31%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.86%EV -10.71%E -8.85%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.79%EV -3.17%E -0.343%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.35%EV -7.15%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.04%EV -7.02%E -5.57%K -27.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.76%E -6.21%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.76%E -6.21%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -11.45%E -9.54%K -57.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV +2.29%E +0.353%K +0.417%G +0.010% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.50%E -6.85%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.50%E -6.85%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.29%EV -9.23%E -7.51%K -40.14%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -15.02%E -2.78%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -11.45%E -9.54%K -57.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -7.02%E -5.57%K -27.00%G +0.000% | 8.87I 11.27%NM 10.61%EV -7.15%E -0.806%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 6.41I 15.60%NM 14.68%EV +0.878%E +0.137%K +0.162%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.88%EV -10.71%E -8.85%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.16%EV -7.88%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.96%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -9.97%E -8.17%K -45.32%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -11.02%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -21.31%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.81%EV -9.23%E -7.51%K -40.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -16.25%E -2.03%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.99%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -11.45%E -9.54%K -57.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -16.25%E -2.03%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.61%EV -9.97%E -8.17%K -45.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -16.25%E -2.03%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.47%EV -21.31%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.61%EV -9.97%E -8.17%K -45.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -16.25%E -2.03%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.47%EV -21.31%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.61%EV -9.97%E -8.17%K -45.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -16.25%E -2.03%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.47%EV -21.31%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.63%EV -7.76%E -6.21%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -18.87%E -2.43%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.65%EV -8.72%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.25% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.90% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.85% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.68% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09% | 1.4% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.68% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09% | 1.4% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.68% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09% | 1.4% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.54% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.50% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.96% | 2.4% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |