L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Shabab v Al-Okhdood
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Shabab (Local)
Prévision 73.79%1.36cote équitable
EV -5.54%
Avantage -4.33%
Kelly -19.80%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.61%73.84%73.58%75.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.241.241.2883.33%80.96%80.65%78.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Okhdood (Visiteur)
Prévision 10.47%9.55cote équitable
EV +9.92%
Avantage +0.944%
Kelly +1.04%
Croissance +0.104%
avec la cote maximale 10.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.09%10.41%10.56%11.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.759.049.0010.5012.90%11.06%11.11%9.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 15.74%6.35cote équitable
EV +2.29%
Avantage +0.353%
Kelly +0.417%
Croissance +0.010%
avec la cote maximale 6.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.01%15.75%15.87%17.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.625.606.5020.00%17.79%17.86%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.68%EV -5.54%E -4.33%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.23%EV +9.92%E +0.944%K +1.04%G +0.104% | 6.42I 15.58%NM 15.09%EV +1.04%E +0.161%K +0.191%G +0.002% | 3.2% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.76%E -6.21%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +4.68%E +0.468%K +0.520%G +0.024% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.33%EV -8.50%E -6.85%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV +4.68%E +0.468%K +0.520%G +0.024% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -11.45%E -9.54%K -57.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV +4.68%E +0.468%K +0.520%G +0.024% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -5.57%E -0.929%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -5.54%E -4.33%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -5.57%E -0.929%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.28%E -4.95%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.28%E -4.95%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.28%E -4.95%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.76%E -6.21%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.57%E -0.929%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -11.45%E -9.54%K -57.24%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -5.57%E -0.929%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.19%EV -11.45%E -9.54%K -57.24%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -21.31%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.86%EV -10.71%E -8.85%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.79%EV -3.17%E -0.343%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.35%EV -7.15%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.04%EV -7.02%E -5.57%K -27.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.76%E -6.21%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.76%E -6.21%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -11.45%E -9.54%K -57.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV +2.29%E +0.353%K +0.417%G +0.010% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.50%E -6.85%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.50%E -6.85%K -35.40%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.29%EV -9.23%E -7.51%K -40.14%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -15.02%E -2.78%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -11.45%E -9.54%K -57.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -7.02%E -5.57%K -27.00%G +0.000% | 8.87I 11.27%NM 10.61%EV -7.15%E -0.806%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 6.41I 15.60%NM 14.68%EV +0.878%E +0.137%K +0.162%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.88%EV -10.71%E -8.85%K -51.00%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.16%EV -7.88%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.96%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -9.97%E -8.17%K -45.32%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -11.02%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -21.31%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.81%EV -9.23%E -7.51%K -40.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -16.25%E -2.03%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.99%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -11.45%E -9.54%K -57.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -16.25%E -2.03%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.61%EV -9.97%E -8.17%K -45.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -16.25%E -2.03%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.47%EV -21.31%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.61%EV -9.97%E -8.17%K -45.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -16.25%E -2.03%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.47%EV -21.31%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.61%EV -9.97%E -8.17%K -45.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -16.25%E -2.03%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.47%EV -21.31%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.63%EV -7.76%E -6.21%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -18.87%E -2.43%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.65%EV -8.72%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.25% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.90% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.85% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.68% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09% | 1.4% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.68% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09% | 1.4% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.68% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09% | 1.4% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.54% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 8.50% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.96% | 2.4% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |