La scuola delle quote

Al-Shabab v Al-Okhdood

Inizio: 2026-03-14 19:02 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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29 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Shabab (Casa)

Previsione 73.79%1.36quota equa
EV -5.54%
Vantaggio -4.33%
Kelly -19.80%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.61%73.84%73.58%75.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.241.241.2883.33%80.96%80.65%78.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Okhdood (Trasferta)

Previsione 10.47%9.55quota equa
EV +9.92%
Vantaggio +0.944%
Kelly +1.04%
Crescita +0.104%

ipotizzando la quota massima 10.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.09%10.41%10.56%11.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.759.049.0010.5012.90%11.06%11.11%9.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 15.74%6.35quota equa
EV +2.29%
Vantaggio +0.353%
Kelly +0.417%
Crescita +0.010%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.01%15.75%15.87%17.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.625.606.5020.00%17.79%17.86%15.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 75.68%EV -5.54%E -4.33%K -19.80%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.23%EV +9.92%E +0.944%K +1.04%G +0.104%6.42I 15.58%NM 15.09%EV +1.04%E +0.161%K +0.191%G +0.002%3.2%2026-03-14 18:59
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.76%E -6.21%K -31.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +4.68%E +0.468%K +0.520%G +0.024%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 19:00
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 74.33%EV -8.50%E -6.85%K -35.40%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV +4.68%E +0.468%K +0.520%G +0.024%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 19:00
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -11.45%E -9.54%K -57.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV +4.68%E +0.468%K +0.520%G +0.024%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -5.57%E -0.929%K -1.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 19:00
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -5.54%E -4.33%K -19.80%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -5.57%E -0.929%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.28%E -4.95%K -23.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 19:00
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.28%E -4.95%K -23.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 19:00
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 73.50%EV -6.28%E -4.95%K -23.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.76%E -6.21%K -31.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -5.57%E -0.929%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:00
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -11.45%E -9.54%K -57.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -5.57%E -0.929%K -1.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-14 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.19%EV -11.45%E -9.54%K -57.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -0.551%E -0.058%K -0.065%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -21.31%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-14 18:59
Betclic (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 74.86%EV -10.71%E -8.85%K -51.00%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.79%EV -3.17%E -0.343%K -0.384%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.35%EV -7.15%E -1.21%K -1.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 18:59
Grosvenor1.26I 79.37%NM 73.04%EV -7.02%E -5.57%K -27.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 19:00
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.76%E -6.21%K -31.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.76%E -6.21%K -31.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 19:00
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -11.45%E -9.54%K -57.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV +2.29%E +0.353%K +0.417%G +0.010%9.8%2026-03-14 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.50%E -6.85%K -35.40%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 19:00
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 73.36%EV -8.50%E -6.85%K -35.40%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 73.29%EV -9.23%E -7.51%K -40.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.02%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -15.02%E -2.78%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-14 19:00
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -11.45%E -9.54%K -57.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -5.79%E -0.643%K -0.723%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-14 19:00
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -7.02%E -5.57%K -27.00%G +0.000%8.87I 11.27%NM 10.61%EV -7.15%E -0.806%K -0.908%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 14.68%EV +0.878%E +0.137%K +0.162%G +0.001%6.2%2026-03-14 18:59
Unibet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 73.88%EV -10.71%E -8.85%K -51.00%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.16%EV -7.88%E -0.895%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.96%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 19:00
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -9.97%E -8.17%K -45.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -11.02%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -21.31%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-14 18:59
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 72.81%EV -9.23%E -7.51%K -40.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -16.25%E -2.03%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.99%EV -11.87%E -2.12%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-14 19:00
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -11.45%E -9.54%K -57.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -16.25%E -2.03%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-14 18:59
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 71.61%EV -9.97%E -8.17%K -45.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -16.25%E -2.03%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.47%EV -21.31%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-14 19:00
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.61%EV -9.97%E -8.17%K -45.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -16.25%E -2.03%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.47%EV -21.31%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-14 19:00
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.61%EV -9.97%E -8.17%K -45.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -16.25%E -2.03%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.47%EV -21.31%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-14 19:00
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.63%EV -7.76%E -6.21%K -31.03%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.71%EV -18.87%E -2.43%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.65%EV -8.72%E -1.50%K -1.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 19:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 77.25%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.90%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.85%1.1%2026-03-14 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.68%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09%1.4%2026-03-14 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.68%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09%1.4%2026-03-14 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.68%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09%1.4%2026-03-14 19:00
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.54%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.50%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.96%2.4%2026-03-14 19:00