赔率学院

Al-Shabab v Al-Nassr

开赛时间： 2026-05-07 18:00 UTC

最终结果： Al-Shabab 2–4 Al-Nassr

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Al-Shabab (主队)

预测 13.51%7.40公平赔率
EV +22.85%
优势 +2.51%
Kelly +2.82%
增长率 +0.645%

假设最高赔率为 9.09

博彩公司预测分布
10.64%13.57%13.41%14.60%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
6.007.387.209.0916.67%13.55%13.89%11.00%MIN均值中位数MAX

Al-Nassr (客队)

预测 69.85%1.43公平赔率
EV -5.70%
优势 -4.23%
Kelly -16.30%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.35

博彩公司预测分布
67.89%69.77%69.96%74.43%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.211.281.281.3582.64%78.09%78.13%74.07%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 16.64%6.01公平赔率
EV +7.81%
优势 +1.20%
Kelly +1.42%
增长率 +0.111%

假设最高赔率为 6.48

博彩公司预测分布
14.93%16.66%16.64%18.90%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.505.465.506.4822.22%18.31%18.18%15.43%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet9.09I 11.00%NM 10.64%EV +22.85%E +2.51%K +2.82%G +0.645%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.43%EV -9.20%E -7.07%K -30.65%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.93%EV +7.81%E +1.20%K +1.42%G +0.111%3.4%2026-05-07 17:50
Unibet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.87%E +1.75%K +1.98%G +0.295%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 17:10
Unibet (NL)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.87%E +1.75%K +1.98%G +0.295%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 17:10
Unibet (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.87%E +1.75%K +1.98%G +0.295%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 17:10
Grosvenor8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.87%E +1.75%K +1.98%G +0.295%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 17:09
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.87%E +1.75%K +1.98%G +0.295%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 17:10
ATG (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.87%E +1.75%K +1.98%G +0.295%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV +8.11%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.094%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.49%EV -12.69%E -10.15%K -50.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 17:15
LeoVegas8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV +8.11%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.094%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.49%EV -12.69%E -10.15%K -50.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 17:15
Virgin Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV +8.11%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.094%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.38%EV -14.09%E -11.45%K -61.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.49%EV -10.16%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-07 17:10
LiveScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV +8.11%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.094%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.38%EV -14.09%E -11.45%K -61.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.49%EV -10.16%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-07 17:10
PMU (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.00%EV +8.11%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.094%1.21I 82.64%NM 72.71%EV -15.48%E -12.80%K -73.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -10.16%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-07 17:09
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV +1.36%E +0.181%K +0.209%G +0.003%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.26%EV -10.59%E -8.28%K -37.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -8.50%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-07 17:35
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV +1.36%E +0.181%K +0.209%G +0.003%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.69%E -10.15%K -50.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-07 17:35
Pinnacle7.32I 13.66%NM 12.89%EV -1.08%E -0.147%K -0.170%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.97%EV -7.10%E -5.34%K -21.52%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.14%EV -2.68%E -0.457%K -0.552%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 17:45
Tipico (DE)7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -2.70%E -0.375%K -0.435%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -9.20%E -7.07%K -30.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.50%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 17:30
betfred_uk7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -5.40%E -0.771%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -9.20%E -7.07%K -30.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.50%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-07 17:09
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -5.40%E -0.771%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-07 17:35
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -5.40%E -0.771%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-07 17:50
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -5.40%E -0.771%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-07 17:50
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -5.40%E -0.771%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-07 17:50
Betclic (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -8.78%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.35%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-07 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -5.70%E -4.23%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -0.180%E -0.030%K -0.036%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 17:50
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -5.70%E -4.23%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -0.180%E -0.030%K -0.036%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 17:50
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.10%E -5.34%K -21.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -8.50%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 17:50
Winamax (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.75%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -0.180%E -0.030%K -0.036%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-07 17:40
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -9.20%E -7.07%K -30.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-07 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.08%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 68.02%EV -12.69%E -10.15%K -50.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.90%EV -25.13%E -5.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%17.6%2026-05-07 17:35
Winamax (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -15.54%E -2.49%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.15%EV -10.59%E -8.28%K -37.83%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -3.51%E -0.605%K -0.731%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-07 17:40
Unibet (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.01%EV -16.21%E -2.61%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 68.95%EV -11.99%E -9.52%K -46.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.04%EV -15.15%E -2.97%K -3.70%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-07 17:39
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 14.60%EV -18.91%E -3.15%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.52%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-07 17:20
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.79%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-05-07 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.79%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-05-07 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.79%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-05-07 17:50
Smarkets8.80I 11.36%NM 11.19%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.6%2026-05-07 17:50
Kalshi8.33I 12.00%NM 11.75%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.58%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.67%2.2%2026-05-07 17:50