La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Al-Shabab v Al-Nassr
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Shabab (Local)
Predicción 13.51%7.40momio equitativo
EV +22.85%
Ventaja +2.51%
Kelly +2.82%
Crecimiento +0.645%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.64%13.57%13.41%14.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.387.209.0916.67%13.55%13.89%11.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Nassr (Visitante)
Predicción 69.85%1.43momio equitativo
EV -5.70%
Ventaja -4.23%
Kelly -16.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.89%69.77%69.96%74.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.211.281.281.3582.64%78.09%78.13%74.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 16.64%6.01momio equitativo
EV +7.81%
Ventaja +1.20%
Kelly +1.42%
Crecimiento +0.111%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.93%16.66%16.64%18.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.465.506.4822.22%18.31%18.18%15.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.64%EV +22.85%E +2.51%K +2.82%G +0.645% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.43%EV -9.20%E -7.07%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 6.48I 15.43%NM 14.93%EV +7.81%E +1.20%K +1.42%G +0.111% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Unibet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.87%E +1.75%K +1.98%G +0.295% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.87%E +1.75%K +1.98%G +0.295% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.87%E +1.75%K +1.98%G +0.295% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| Grosvenor | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.87%E +1.75%K +1.98%G +0.295% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 17:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.87%E +1.75%K +1.98%G +0.295% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.87%E +1.75%K +1.98%G +0.295% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV +8.11%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.094% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.49%EV -12.69%E -10.15%K -50.76%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| LeoVegas | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV +8.11%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.094% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.49%EV -12.69%E -10.15%K -50.76%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV +8.11%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.094% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.38%EV -14.09%E -11.45%K -61.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.49%EV -10.16%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV +8.11%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.094% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.38%EV -14.09%E -11.45%K -61.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.49%EV -10.16%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.00%EV +8.11%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.094% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.71%EV -15.48%E -12.80%K -73.73%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -10.16%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-07 17:09 |
| SportsBet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV +1.36%E +0.181%K +0.209%G +0.003% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.26%EV -10.59%E -8.28%K -37.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -8.50%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-07 17:35 |
| Paddy Power | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV +1.36%E +0.181%K +0.209%G +0.003% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.69%E -10.15%K -50.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-07 17:35 |
| Pinnacle | 7.32I 13.66%NM 12.89%EV -1.08%E -0.147%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.97%EV -7.10%E -5.34%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.14%EV -2.68%E -0.457%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 17:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -2.70%E -0.375%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -9.20%E -7.07%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.50%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-07 17:30 |
| betfred_uk | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -5.40%E -0.771%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -9.20%E -7.07%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.50%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-07 17:09 |
| Sky Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -5.40%E -0.771%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-07 17:35 |
| 888sport | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -5.40%E -0.771%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -5.40%E -0.771%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -5.40%E -0.771%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -8.78%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.35%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -5.70%E -4.23%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -0.180%E -0.030%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Coral | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -5.70%E -4.23%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -0.180%E -0.030%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.10%E -5.34%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -8.50%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.75%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -0.180%E -0.030%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-07 17:40 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -9.20%E -7.07%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-07 17:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.08%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 68.02%EV -12.69%E -10.15%K -50.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.90%EV -25.13%E -5.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-05-07 17:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -15.54%E -2.49%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.15%EV -10.59%E -8.28%K -37.83%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -3.51%E -0.605%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-07 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.01%EV -16.21%E -2.61%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 68.95%EV -11.99%E -9.52%K -46.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.04%EV -15.15%E -2.97%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-07 17:39 |
| BoyleSports | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.60%EV -18.91%E -3.15%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.52%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-07 17:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.79% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 1.0% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.79% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 1.0% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.79% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 1.0% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.19% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.93% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Kalshi | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.75% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.58% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.67% | 2.2% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |