Die Schule der Quoten

Al-Shabab v Al-Nassr

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-07 18:00 UTC

Endstand: Al-Shabab 2–4 Al-Nassr

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

31 Wettanbieter (7 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Al-Shabab (Heim)

Prognose 13.51%7.40faire Quote
EV +22.85%
Vorteil +2.51%
Kelly +2.82%
Wachstum +0.645%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.09

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
10.64%13.57%13.41%14.60%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
6.007.387.209.0916.67%13.55%13.89%11.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Al-Nassr (Auswärts)

Prognose 69.85%1.43faire Quote
EV -5.70%
Vorteil -4.23%
Kelly -16.30%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.35

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
67.89%69.77%69.96%74.43%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.211.281.281.3582.64%78.09%78.13%74.07%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 16.64%6.01faire Quote
EV +7.81%
Vorteil +1.20%
Kelly +1.42%
Wachstum +0.111%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.48

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.93%16.66%16.64%18.90%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.505.465.506.4822.22%18.31%18.18%15.43%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (31 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet9.09I 11.00%NM 10.64%EV +22.85%E +2.51%K +2.82%G +0.645%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.43%EV -9.20%E -7.07%K -30.65%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.93%EV +7.81%E +1.20%K +1.42%G +0.111%3.4%2026-05-07 17:50
Unibet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.87%E +1.75%K +1.98%G +0.295%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 17:10
Unibet (NL)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.87%E +1.75%K +1.98%G +0.295%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 17:10
Unibet (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.87%E +1.75%K +1.98%G +0.295%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 17:10
Grosvenor8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.87%E +1.75%K +1.98%G +0.295%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 17:09
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.87%E +1.75%K +1.98%G +0.295%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 17:10
ATG (SE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.87%E +1.75%K +1.98%G +0.295%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.82%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV +8.11%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.094%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.49%EV -12.69%E -10.15%K -50.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 17:15
LeoVegas8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV +8.11%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.094%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.49%EV -12.69%E -10.15%K -50.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-07 17:15
Virgin Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV +8.11%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.094%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.38%EV -14.09%E -11.45%K -61.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.49%EV -10.16%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-07 17:10
LiveScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV +8.11%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.094%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.38%EV -14.09%E -11.45%K -61.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.49%EV -10.16%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-07 17:10
PMU (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.00%EV +8.11%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.094%1.21I 82.64%NM 72.71%EV -15.48%E -12.80%K -73.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -10.16%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-07 17:09
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV +1.36%E +0.181%K +0.209%G +0.003%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.26%EV -10.59%E -8.28%K -37.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -8.50%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-07 17:35
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV +1.36%E +0.181%K +0.209%G +0.003%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.69%E -10.15%K -50.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-07 17:35
Pinnacle7.32I 13.66%NM 12.89%EV -1.08%E -0.147%K -0.170%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.97%EV -7.10%E -5.34%K -21.52%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.14%EV -2.68%E -0.457%K -0.552%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 17:45
Tipico (DE)7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -2.70%E -0.375%K -0.435%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -9.20%E -7.07%K -30.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.50%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 17:30
betfred_uk7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -5.40%E -0.771%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -9.20%E -7.07%K -30.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.50%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-07 17:09
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -5.40%E -0.771%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-07 17:35
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -5.40%E -0.771%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-07 17:50
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -5.40%E -0.771%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-07 17:50
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -5.40%E -0.771%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-07 17:50
Betclic (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -8.78%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.35%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-07 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -5.70%E -4.23%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -0.180%E -0.030%K -0.036%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 17:50
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -5.70%E -4.23%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -0.180%E -0.030%K -0.036%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 17:50
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.10%E -5.34%K -21.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -8.50%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 17:50
Winamax (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.75%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -0.180%E -0.030%K -0.036%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-07 17:40
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -9.20%E -7.07%K -30.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-07 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.08%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 68.02%EV -12.69%E -10.15%K -50.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.90%EV -25.13%E -5.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%17.6%2026-05-07 17:35
Winamax (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -15.54%E -2.49%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.15%EV -10.59%E -8.28%K -37.83%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -3.51%E -0.605%K -0.731%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-07 17:40
Unibet (FR)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.01%EV -16.21%E -2.61%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 68.95%EV -11.99%E -9.52%K -46.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.04%EV -15.15%E -2.97%K -3.70%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-07 17:39
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 14.60%EV -18.91%E -3.15%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.52%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-07 17:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.79%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-05-07 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.79%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-05-07 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.79%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-05-07 17:50
Smarkets8.80I 11.36%NM 11.19%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.6%2026-05-07 17:50
Kalshi8.33I 12.00%NM 11.75%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.58%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.67%2.2%2026-05-07 17:50