L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Shabab v Al-Nassr
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Shabab (Local)
Prévision 13.51%7.40cote équitable
EV +22.85%
Avantage +2.51%
Kelly +2.82%
Croissance +0.645%
avec la cote maximale 9.09
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.64%13.57%13.41%14.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.387.209.0916.67%13.55%13.89%11.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Nassr (Visiteur)
Prévision 69.85%1.43cote équitable
EV -5.70%
Avantage -4.23%
Kelly -16.30%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.89%69.77%69.96%74.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.211.281.281.3582.64%78.09%78.13%74.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 16.64%6.01cote équitable
EV +7.81%
Avantage +1.20%
Kelly +1.42%
Croissance +0.111%
avec la cote maximale 6.48
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.93%16.66%16.64%18.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.465.506.4822.22%18.31%18.18%15.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.64%EV +22.85%E +2.51%K +2.82%G +0.645% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.43%EV -9.20%E -7.07%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 6.48I 15.43%NM 14.93%EV +7.81%E +1.20%K +1.42%G +0.111% | 3.4% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Unibet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.87%E +1.75%K +1.98%G +0.295% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.87%E +1.75%K +1.98%G +0.295% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.87%E +1.75%K +1.98%G +0.295% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| Grosvenor | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.87%E +1.75%K +1.98%G +0.295% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 17:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.87%E +1.75%K +1.98%G +0.295% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV +14.87%E +1.75%K +1.98%G +0.295% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -11.29%E -8.89%K -41.82%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV +8.11%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.094% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.49%EV -12.69%E -10.15%K -50.76%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| LeoVegas | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV +8.11%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.094% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.49%EV -12.69%E -10.15%K -50.76%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV +8.11%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.094% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.38%EV -14.09%E -11.45%K -61.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.49%EV -10.16%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.13%EV +8.11%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.094% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.38%EV -14.09%E -11.45%K -61.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.49%EV -10.16%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-07 17:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.00%EV +8.11%E +1.01%K +1.16%G +0.094% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.71%EV -15.48%E -12.80%K -73.73%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -10.16%E -1.88%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-07 17:09 |
| SportsBet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV +1.36%E +0.181%K +0.209%G +0.003% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.26%EV -10.59%E -8.28%K -37.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -8.50%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-07 17:35 |
| Paddy Power | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV +1.36%E +0.181%K +0.209%G +0.003% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.69%E -10.15%K -50.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-07 17:35 |
| Pinnacle | 7.32I 13.66%NM 12.89%EV -1.08%E -0.147%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.97%EV -7.10%E -5.34%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.14%EV -2.68%E -0.457%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 17:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -2.70%E -0.375%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -9.20%E -7.07%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -8.50%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-07 17:30 |
| betfred_uk | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -5.40%E -0.771%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -9.20%E -7.07%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -8.50%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-07 17:09 |
| Sky Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -5.40%E -0.771%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-07 17:35 |
| 888sport | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -5.40%E -0.771%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -5.40%E -0.771%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -5.40%E -0.771%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -8.78%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.35%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -6.83%E -1.22%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -5.70%E -4.23%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -0.180%E -0.030%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Coral | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -5.70%E -4.23%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -0.180%E -0.030%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.10%E -5.34%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -8.50%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.75%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -0.180%E -0.030%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-07 17:40 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -9.20%E -7.07%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-07 17:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.08%EV -12.16%E -1.87%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 68.02%EV -12.69%E -10.15%K -50.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.90%EV -25.13%E -5.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-05-07 17:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -15.54%E -2.49%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.15%EV -10.59%E -8.28%K -37.83%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -3.51%E -0.605%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-07 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.01%EV -16.21%E -2.61%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 68.95%EV -11.99%E -9.52%K -46.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.04%EV -15.15%E -2.97%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-07 17:39 |
| BoyleSports | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.60%EV -18.91%E -3.15%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.89%EV -9.89%E -7.67%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.52%EV -16.82%E -3.36%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-07 17:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.79% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 1.0% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.79% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 1.0% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.79% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 1.0% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.19% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.93% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |
| Kalshi | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.75% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.58% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.67% | 2.2% | 2026-05-07 17:50 |