Language:English
Al-Riyadh v Al-Okhdood
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Riyadh (Local)
Prediction 69.50%1.44fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.926%
Kelly -3.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.67%69.46%69.59%71.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.321.311.4280.00%75.82%76.05%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Okhdood (Visit)
Prediction 13.09%7.64fair odd
EV +3.29%
Edge +0.417%
Kelly +0.477%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 7.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.54%13.10%13.03%14.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.256.896.787.8916.00%14.51%14.76%12.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.41%5.74fair odd
EV -0.749%
Edge -0.131%
Kelly -0.159%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.30%17.44%17.38%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.115.055.7022.22%19.58%19.80%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Riyadh (Local): 69.50%; Al-Okhdood (Visit): 13.09%; Draw: 17.41%. For Al-Okhdood (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.18%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 7.89I 12.67%NM 12.00%EV +3.29%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 5.63I 17.76%NM 16.82%EV -1.97%E -0.350%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -1.82%E -0.242%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -13.13%E -10.50%K -52.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -1.82%E -0.242%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -13.13%E -10.50%K -52.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -1.82%E -0.242%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.23%EV -13.13%E -10.50%K -52.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.54%EV -1.82%E -0.242%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -21.64%E -4.81%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -5.74%E -0.798%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.58%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -8.58%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.77%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.20%E -2.20%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.77%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.20%E -2.20%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.77%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.20%E -2.20%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -8.58%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-21 17:47 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -10.35%E -8.02%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -8.58%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.39%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.27%EV -10.98%E -1.61%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.35%EV -9.46%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.94%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -14.68%E -3.00%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.35%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.20%EV -14.68%E -3.00%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.49%EV -1.32%E -0.926%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.73I 14.86%NM 14.45%EV -11.90%E -1.77%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.06%EV -0.749%E -0.131%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.08%EV -8.26%E -6.26%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.42%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.42%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.42%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.42%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.71%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.75%EV -16.22%E -2.53%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -17.29%E -3.64%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.42%EV -8.96%E -6.84%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.34%EV -18.18%E -2.91%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.24%EV -9.46%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.14% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 0.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.14% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 0.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.89% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.84% | 1.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.11% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.97% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92% | 1.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.70% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.07% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.24% | 2.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |