L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Riyadh v Al-Okhdood
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Riyadh (Local)
Prévision 69.50%1.44cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.926%
Kelly -3.13%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.67%69.46%69.59%71.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.321.311.4280.00%75.82%76.05%70.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Okhdood (Visiteur)
Prévision 13.09%7.64cote équitable
EV +3.29%
Avantage +0.417%
Kelly +0.477%
Croissance +0.016%
avec la cote maximale 7.89
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.54%13.10%13.03%14.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.256.896.787.8916.00%14.51%14.76%12.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 17.41%5.74cote équitable
EV -0.749%
Avantage -0.131%
Kelly -0.159%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.30%17.44%17.38%19.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.115.055.7022.22%19.58%19.80%17.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.18%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 7.89I 12.67%NM 12.00%EV +3.29%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 5.63I 17.76%NM 16.82%EV -1.97%E -0.350%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -1.82%E -0.242%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -13.13%E -10.50%K -52.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -1.82%E -0.242%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -13.13%E -10.50%K -52.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -1.82%E -0.242%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.23%EV -13.13%E -10.50%K -52.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.54%EV -1.82%E -0.242%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -21.64%E -4.81%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -5.74%E -0.798%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.58%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -8.58%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Unibet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.77%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.20%E -2.20%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.77%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.20%E -2.20%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.77%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.20%E -2.20%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -8.58%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-21 17:47 |
| Sky Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -10.35%E -8.02%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -8.58%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.39%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.27%EV -10.98%E -1.61%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.35%EV -9.46%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.94%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -14.68%E -3.00%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.35%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.20%EV -14.68%E -3.00%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.49%EV -1.32%E -0.926%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.73I 14.86%NM 14.45%EV -11.90%E -1.77%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.06%EV -0.749%E -0.131%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.08%EV -8.26%E -6.26%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.42%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.42%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.42%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.42%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.71%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.75%EV -16.22%E -2.53%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -17.29%E -3.64%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.42%EV -8.96%E -6.84%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.34%EV -18.18%E -2.91%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.24%EV -9.46%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.14% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 0.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.14% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 0.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.89% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.84% | 1.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.11% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.97% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92% | 1.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.70% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.07% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.24% | 2.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |