La scuola delle quote

Al-Riyadh v Al-Okhdood

Inizio: 2026-05-21 18:02 UTC

Finale: Al-Riyadh 1–0 Al-Okhdood

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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30 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Riyadh (Casa)

Previsione 69.50%1.44quota equa
EV -1.32%
Vantaggio -0.926%
Kelly -3.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.67%69.46%69.59%71.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.321.311.4280.00%75.82%76.05%70.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Okhdood (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.09%7.64quota equa
EV +3.29%
Vantaggio +0.417%
Kelly +0.477%
Crescita +0.016%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.89

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.54%13.10%13.03%14.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.256.896.787.8916.00%14.51%14.76%12.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 17.41%5.74quota equa
EV -0.749%
Vantaggio -0.131%
Kelly -0.159%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.30%17.44%17.38%19.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.115.055.7022.22%19.58%19.80%17.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 71.18%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.94%G +0.000%7.89I 12.67%NM 12.00%EV +3.29%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016%5.63I 17.76%NM 16.82%EV -1.97%E -0.350%K -0.425%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 17:59
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -1.82%E -0.242%K -0.280%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 17:59
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -13.13%E -10.50%K -52.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -1.82%E -0.242%K -0.280%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-21 18:00
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -13.13%E -10.50%K -52.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -1.82%E -0.242%K -0.280%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-21 17:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.23%EV -13.13%E -10.50%K -52.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.54%EV -1.82%E -0.242%K -0.280%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -21.64%E -4.81%K -6.18%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-21 17:59
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -5.74%E -0.798%K -0.927%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-21 18:00
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.58%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 18:00
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -8.58%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 17:59
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 68.77%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.20%E -2.20%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 18:00
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.77%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.20%E -2.20%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 18:00
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 68.77%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.20%E -2.20%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-21 18:00
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -8.58%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-21 17:47
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -10.35%E -8.02%K -35.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -8.58%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-21 18:00
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-21 18:00
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.39%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.27%EV -10.98%E -1.61%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.35%EV -9.46%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-21 18:00
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-21 17:54
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-21 17:54
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-21 17:54
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 67.94%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -14.68%E -3.00%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-21 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.35%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.94%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-21 18:00
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.20%EV -14.68%E -3.00%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-21 18:00
1xBet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.49%EV -1.32%E -0.926%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.73I 14.86%NM 14.45%EV -11.90%E -1.77%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.06%EV -0.749%E -0.131%K -0.159%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-21 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-21 18:00
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.08%EV -8.26%E -6.26%K -25.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-21 18:00
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.42%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-21 17:59
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.42%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-21 18:00
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.42%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-21 17:59
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.42%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-21 17:59
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.71%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.75%EV -16.22%E -2.53%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -17.29%E -3.64%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-21 17:54
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 68.42%EV -8.96%E -6.84%K -28.90%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.34%EV -18.18%E -2.91%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.24%EV -9.46%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-21 18:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.14%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%0.5%2026-05-21 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.14%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%0.5%2026-05-21 18:00
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.89%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.84%1.0%2026-05-21 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.11%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.97%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92%1.3%2026-05-21 18:00
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 72.70%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.07%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.24%2.7%2026-05-21 18:00