La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Al-Riyadh v Al-Okhdood
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Riyadh (Local)
Predicción 69.50%1.44momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.926%
Kelly -3.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.67%69.46%69.59%71.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.321.311.4280.00%75.82%76.05%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Okhdood (Visitante)
Predicción 13.09%7.64momio equitativo
EV +3.29%
Ventaja +0.417%
Kelly +0.477%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.89
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.54%13.10%13.03%14.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.256.896.787.8916.00%14.51%14.76%12.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 17.41%5.74momio equitativo
EV -0.749%
Ventaja -0.131%
Kelly -0.159%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.30%17.44%17.38%19.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.115.055.7022.22%19.58%19.80%17.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.18%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 7.89I 12.67%NM 12.00%EV +3.29%E +0.417%K +0.477%G +0.016% | 5.63I 17.76%NM 16.82%EV -1.97%E -0.350%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -1.82%E -0.242%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -13.13%E -10.50%K -52.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -1.82%E -0.242%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -13.13%E -10.50%K -52.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -1.82%E -0.242%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.23%EV -13.13%E -10.50%K -52.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.54%EV -1.82%E -0.242%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -21.64%E -4.81%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.58%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.74%EV -5.74%E -0.798%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -4.23%E -0.769%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.58%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.23%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -8.58%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Unibet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.77%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.20%E -2.20%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.77%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.20%E -2.20%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.77%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.20%E -2.20%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -8.58%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-21 17:47 |
| Sky Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -10.35%E -8.02%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.89%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.18%EV -8.58%E -1.64%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -8.36%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.39%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.27%EV -10.98%E -1.61%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.35%EV -9.46%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.87%EV -5.48%E -4.03%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.67%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.94%EV -6.87%E -5.13%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -14.68%E -3.00%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.35%EV -7.57%E -5.69%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -11.64%E -1.72%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.20%EV -14.68%E -3.00%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.49%EV -1.32%E -0.926%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.73I 14.86%NM 14.45%EV -11.90%E -1.77%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.06%EV -0.749%E -0.131%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -6.18%E -4.58%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -12.94%E -2.59%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.08%EV -8.26%E -6.26%K -25.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -5.97%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.42%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.42%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.42%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -14.91%E -2.29%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.42%E -3.42%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.71%EV -9.65%E -7.43%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.75%EV -16.22%E -2.53%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -17.29%E -3.64%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.42%EV -8.96%E -6.84%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.34%EV -18.18%E -2.91%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.24%EV -9.46%E -1.82%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.14% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 0.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.14% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 0.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.89% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.84% | 1.0% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.11% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.97% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92% | 1.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.70% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.07% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.24% | 2.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |