Language:English
Al-Qadsiah v Al-Shabab
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Qadsiah (Local)
Prediction 61.94%1.61fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -4.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.69%61.80%62.13%63.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.461.461.5770.92%68.38%68.73%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Shabab (Visit)
Prediction 18.44%5.42fair odd
EV -0.767%
Edge -0.143%
Kelly -0.175%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.27%18.58%18.51%20.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.985.005.3823.09%20.09%20.00%18.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.61%5.10fair odd
EV -0.964%
Edge -0.191%
Kelly -0.238%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.05%19.61%19.36%22.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.524.505.0526.67%22.13%22.22%19.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Qadsiah (Local): 61.94%; Al-Shabab (Visit): 18.44%; Draw: 19.61%. For Al-Shabab (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.38, with an expected value of -0.767%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.66%EV -2.75%E -1.75%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.17%EV -6.85%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.17%EV -0.964%E -0.191%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-14 17:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.24%EV -3.99%E -2.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -5.87%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -11.47%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -5.87%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.02%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.57%EV -0.767%E -0.143%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.41%EV -4.49%E -0.923%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 17:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-14 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -4.09%E -0.786%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.34%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.24%E -0.423%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.34%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.24%E -0.423%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.34%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.24%E -0.423%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.34%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.24%E -0.423%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.34%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.24%E -0.423%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.34%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.24%E -0.423%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.74%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.52%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.40%EV -9.56%E -6.55%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-14 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.29%EV -9.56%E -6.55%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -6.85%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-14 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -10.18%E -7.02%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -3.16%E -0.603%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -10.18%E -7.02%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -3.16%E -0.603%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -6.85%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.73%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.47%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.77%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.02%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.21%EV -15.08%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-14 17:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.77%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.02%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.21%EV -15.08%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.77%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.02%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.21%EV -15.08%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-14 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.77%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.02%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.21%EV -15.08%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-14 17:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.51%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -20.13%E -4.65%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.36%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.69%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -17.00%E -3.78%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -26.46%E -7.06%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-04-14 17:46 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.59%EV -11.42%E -7.99%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.26%EV -17.00%E -3.78%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.15%EV -15.67%E -3.64%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.45%EV -12.04%E -8.48%K -28.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -5.93%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.45%EV -12.04%E -8.48%K -28.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -5.93%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.48%EV -12.66%E -8.98%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.27%EV -5.93%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.25%EV -14.69%E -3.38%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.12% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.13% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.12% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.13% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.33% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.35% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.33% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.78% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 15.22% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 17.01% | 11.8% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |