La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Al-Qadsiah v Al-Shabab
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Qadsiah (Local)
Predicción 61.94%1.61momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -4.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.69%61.80%62.13%63.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.411.461.461.5770.92%68.38%68.73%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Shabab (Visitante)
Predicción 18.44%5.42momio equitativo
EV -0.767%
Ventaja -0.143%
Kelly -0.175%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.27%18.58%18.51%20.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.334.985.005.3823.09%20.09%20.00%18.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.61%5.10momio equitativo
EV -0.964%
Ventaja -0.191%
Kelly -0.238%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.05%19.61%19.36%22.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.524.505.0526.67%22.13%22.22%19.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.66%EV -2.75%E -1.75%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.17%EV -6.85%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.17%EV -0.964%E -0.191%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-14 17:59 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.24%EV -3.99%E -2.57%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -5.87%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -11.47%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -5.87%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.02%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.57%EV -0.767%E -0.143%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.41%EV -4.49%E -0.923%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 17:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-14 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -4.09%E -0.786%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Unibet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.34%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.24%E -0.423%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.34%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.24%E -0.423%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.34%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.24%E -0.423%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Grosvenor | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.34%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.24%E -0.423%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.34%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.24%E -0.423%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.34%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.24%E -0.423%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.74%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.52%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.40%EV -9.56%E -6.55%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-14 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.29%EV -9.56%E -6.55%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -6.85%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-14 17:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -10.18%E -7.02%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -3.16%E -0.603%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -10.18%E -7.02%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -3.16%E -0.603%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -6.85%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.73%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.47%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.77%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.02%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.21%EV -15.08%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-14 17:59 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.77%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.02%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.21%EV -15.08%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.77%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.02%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.21%EV -15.08%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-14 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.77%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.02%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.21%EV -15.08%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-14 17:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.51%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -20.13%E -4.65%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.36%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.69%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -17.00%E -3.78%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -26.46%E -7.06%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-04-14 17:46 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.59%EV -11.42%E -7.99%K -26.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.26%EV -17.00%E -3.78%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.15%EV -15.67%E -3.64%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.45%EV -12.04%E -8.48%K -28.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -5.93%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.45%EV -12.04%E -8.48%K -28.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -5.93%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.48%EV -12.66%E -8.98%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.27%EV -5.93%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.25%EV -14.69%E -3.38%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.12% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.13% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.12% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.13% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.33% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.35% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.33% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |
| Kalshi | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.78% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 15.22% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 17.01% | 11.8% | 2026-04-14 18:01 |