L’École des cotes

Al-Qadsiah v Al-Shabab

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-14 18:04 UTC

Score final : Al-Qadsiah 2–2 Al-Shabab

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

30 opérateurs (5 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Qadsiah (Local)

Prévision 61.94%1.61cote équitable
EV -2.75%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -4.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.69%61.80%62.13%63.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.411.461.461.5770.92%68.38%68.73%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Shabab (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.44%5.42cote équitable
EV -0.767%
Avantage -0.143%
Kelly -0.175%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.27%18.58%18.51%20.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.985.005.3823.09%20.09%20.00%18.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.61%5.10cote équitable
EV -0.964%
Avantage -0.191%
Kelly -0.238%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.05%19.61%19.36%22.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.524.505.0526.67%22.13%22.22%19.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.66%EV -2.75%E -1.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.17%EV -6.85%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.17%EV -0.964%E -0.191%K -0.238%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-14 17:59
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.24%EV -3.99%E -2.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -5.87%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 18:01
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -11.47%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -5.87%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 18:00
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 63.02%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.57%EV -0.767%E -0.143%K -0.175%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.41%EV -4.49%E -0.923%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 17:59
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 17:59
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -4.09%E -0.786%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:01
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.34%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.24%E -0.423%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 18:01
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.34%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.24%E -0.423%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 18:00
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.34%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.24%E -0.423%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 18:01
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 62.34%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.24%E -0.423%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 18:00
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 62.34%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.24%E -0.423%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 18:00
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.34%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.24%E -0.423%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 18:01
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.74%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.52%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-14 18:01
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.40%EV -9.56%E -6.55%K -20.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 17:59
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.29%EV -9.56%E -6.55%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -6.85%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-14 17:55
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -10.18%E -7.02%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -3.16%E -0.603%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-14 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -10.18%E -7.02%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -3.16%E -0.603%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-14 18:00
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -6.85%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-14 18:01
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-14 18:00
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.73%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.47%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-14 18:00
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 60.77%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.02%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.21%EV -15.08%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-14 17:59
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 60.77%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.02%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.21%EV -15.08%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-14 18:01
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.77%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.02%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.21%EV -15.08%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-14 17:59
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.77%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.02%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.21%EV -15.08%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-14 17:59
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.51%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -20.13%E -4.65%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.36%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-14 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.69%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -17.00%E -3.78%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -26.46%E -7.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%18.3%2026-04-14 17:46
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 60.59%EV -11.42%E -7.99%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.26%EV -17.00%E -3.78%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.15%EV -15.67%E -3.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-14 18:01
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 62.45%EV -12.04%E -8.48%K -28.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -5.93%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-14 18:01
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 62.45%EV -12.04%E -8.48%K -28.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -5.93%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-14 18:00
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.48%EV -12.66%E -8.98%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.27%EV -5.93%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.25%EV -14.69%E -3.38%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-14 18:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.12%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.13%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75%0.6%2026-04-14 18:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.12%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.13%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75%0.6%2026-04-14 18:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.33%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.35%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.33%3.0%2026-04-14 18:01
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 67.78%5.88I 17.01%NM 15.22%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.01%11.8%2026-04-14 18:01