La scuola delle quote

Al-Qadsiah v Al-Shabab

Inizio: 2026-04-14 18:04 UTC

Finale: Al-Qadsiah 2–2 Al-Shabab

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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30 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Qadsiah (Casa)

Previsione 61.94%1.61quota equa
EV -2.75%
Vantaggio -1.75%
Kelly -4.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.69%61.80%62.13%63.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.411.461.461.5770.92%68.38%68.73%63.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Shabab (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.44%5.42quota equa
EV -0.767%
Vantaggio -0.143%
Kelly -0.175%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.27%18.58%18.51%20.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.334.985.005.3823.09%20.09%20.00%18.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 19.61%5.10quota equa
EV -0.964%
Vantaggio -0.191%
Kelly -0.238%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.05%19.61%19.36%22.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.524.505.0526.67%22.13%22.22%19.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.66%EV -2.75%E -1.75%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.17%EV -6.85%E -1.36%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.17%EV -0.964%E -0.191%K -0.238%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-14 17:59
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.24%EV -3.99%E -2.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -5.87%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 18:01
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.23%E -3.42%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -11.47%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -5.87%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 18:00
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 63.02%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.57%EV -0.767%E -0.143%K -0.175%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.41%EV -4.49%E -0.923%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 17:59
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -7.08%E -4.72%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 17:59
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -4.09%E -0.786%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 18:01
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.34%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.24%E -0.423%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 18:01
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.34%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.24%E -0.423%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 18:00
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.34%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.24%E -0.423%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 18:01
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 62.34%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.24%E -0.423%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 18:00
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 62.34%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.24%E -0.423%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 18:00
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.34%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.29%EV -2.24%E -0.423%K -0.522%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-14 18:01
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.74%EV -8.94%E -6.08%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.52%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -9.79%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-14 18:01
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.40%EV -9.56%E -6.55%K -20.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -7.83%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 17:59
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.29%EV -9.56%E -6.55%K -20.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -9.62%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -6.85%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-14 17:55
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -10.18%E -7.02%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -3.16%E -0.603%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-14 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -10.18%E -7.02%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -3.16%E -0.603%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-14 18:00
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -6.85%E -1.44%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-14 18:01
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.78%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-14 18:00
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.73%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.47%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-14 18:00
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 60.77%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.02%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.21%EV -15.08%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-14 17:59
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 60.77%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.02%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.21%EV -15.08%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-14 18:01
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.77%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.02%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.21%EV -15.08%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-14 17:59
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.77%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.02%EV -15.15%E -3.29%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.21%EV -15.08%E -3.48%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-14 17:59
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.51%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -20.13%E -4.65%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.36%EV -11.75%E -2.61%K -3.36%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-14 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.69%EV -10.80%E -7.50%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.78%EV -17.00%E -3.78%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -26.46%E -7.06%K -9.62%G +0.000%18.3%2026-04-14 17:46
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 60.59%EV -11.42%E -7.99%K -26.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.26%EV -17.00%E -3.78%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.15%EV -15.67%E -3.64%K -4.75%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-14 18:01
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 62.45%EV -12.04%E -8.48%K -28.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -5.93%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-14 18:01
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 62.45%EV -12.04%E -8.48%K -28.66%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -5.93%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -13.71%E -3.12%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-14 18:00
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.48%EV -12.66%E -8.98%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.27%EV -5.93%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.25%EV -14.69%E -3.38%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-14 18:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.12%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.13%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75%0.6%2026-04-14 18:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.12%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.13%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75%0.6%2026-04-14 18:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.33%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.35%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.33%3.0%2026-04-14 18:01
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 67.78%5.88I 17.01%NM 15.22%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.01%11.8%2026-04-14 18:01