赔率学院

Al-Nassr v Neom

开赛时间： 2026-03-07 19:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

29 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Al-Nassr (主队)

预测 74.09%1.35公平赔率
EV -3.68%
优势 -2.83%
Kelly -12.28%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.30

博彩公司预测分布
71.09%74.35%73.82%77.38%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.171.241.231.3085.47%80.73%81.30%76.92%MIN均值中位数MAX

Neom (客队)

预测 10.25%9.76公平赔率
EV +5.88%
优势 +0.569%
Kelly +0.630%
增长率 +0.037%

假设最高赔率为 10.33

博彩公司预测分布
8.66%10.27%10.40%11.56%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
7.508.728.5010.3313.33%11.47%11.76%9.68%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 15.66%6.39公平赔率
EV +9.63%
优势 +1.38%
Kelly +1.60%
增长率 +0.154%

假设最高赔率为 7.00

博彩公司预测分布
13.49%15.38%15.79%17.35%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
5.005.715.507.0020.00%17.50%18.18%14.29%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle1.22I 81.97%NM 77.38%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.68%G +0.000%10.33I 9.68%NM 9.14%EV +5.88%E +0.569%K +0.630%G +0.037%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.49%EV +9.63%E +1.38%K +1.60%G +0.154%5.9%2026-03-07 18:50
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.74%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.28%G +0.000%8.98I 11.14%NM 10.82%EV -7.96%E -0.886%K -0.997%G +0.000%6.73I 14.86%NM 14.44%EV +5.40%E +0.802%K +0.942%G +0.051%2.9%2026-03-07 18:54
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -12.57%E -10.66%K -69.86%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV +2.50%E +0.250%K +0.277%G +0.007%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV +1.80%E +0.276%K +0.327%G +0.006%10.1%2026-03-07 18:55
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 76.74%EV -13.32%E -11.38%K -78.32%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -2.63%E -0.277%K -0.309%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV +1.80%E +0.276%K +0.327%G +0.006%11.4%2026-03-07 18:55
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.46%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -2.63%E -0.277%K -0.309%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.85%EV -2.90%E -0.468%K -0.558%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 17:05
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.45%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -2.63%E -0.277%K -0.309%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -6.03%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 18:49
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -11.09%E -9.24%K -55.46%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -6.03%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 17:44
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.09%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -18.00%E -2.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.49%EV -7.60%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.45%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV -7.75%E -0.862%K -0.969%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -9.95%E -1.73%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 18:49
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.42%EV -5.91%E -4.65%K -21.87%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.75%E -0.862%K -0.969%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -9.95%E -1.73%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 73.83%EV -8.87%E -7.21%K -38.56%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.38%EV -10.32%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -9.95%E -1.73%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 18:34
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 72.75%EV -8.87%E -7.21%K -38.56%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.55%EV -20.57%E -2.65%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.70%EV -10.73%E -1.88%K -2.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-07 16:49
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.65%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.68%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.45%EV -11.85%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 15.90%EV -11.52%E -2.04%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 18:55
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -5.91%E -4.65%K -21.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 18:04
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -5.91%E -4.65%K -21.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 18:04
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -5.91%E -4.65%K -21.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 18:04
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -5.91%E -4.65%K -21.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 18:04
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -5.91%E -4.65%K -21.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 18:04
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -5.91%E -4.65%K -21.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 18:04
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 16:00
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 16:00
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 16:00
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 16:00
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 72.38%EV -6.65%E -5.28%K -25.57%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -15.43%E -2.86%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 72.38%EV -6.65%E -5.28%K -25.57%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -15.43%E -2.86%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 15:30
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 72.04%EV -8.87%E -7.21%K -38.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.08%EV -18.00%E -2.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.88%EV -17.78%E -3.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-06 15:30
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 72.04%EV -8.87%E -7.21%K -38.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.08%EV -18.00%E -2.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.88%EV -17.78%E -3.39%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-06 15:31
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.56%EV -23.13%E -3.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -21.70%E -4.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-07 17:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.02%EV -13.32%E -11.38%K -78.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV +2.50%E +0.250%K +0.277%G +0.007%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.32%EV -21.70%E -4.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-07 18:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 79.19%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.68%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.13%0.2%2026-03-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 79.19%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.68%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.13%0.2%2026-03-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 79.19%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.68%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.13%0.2%2026-03-07 18:54
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 79.22%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.92%1.8%2026-03-07 18:55
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 77.66%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.74%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60%3.0%2026-03-07 18:45