A Escola das OddsPortuguês
Al-Nassr v Neom
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
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Al-Nassr (Local)
Previsão 74.09%1.35odd justa
EV -3.68%
Vantagem -2.83%
Kelly -12.28%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.30
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.09%74.35%73.82%77.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.171.241.231.3085.47%80.73%81.30%76.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Neom (Visitante)
Previsão 10.25%9.76odd justa
EV +5.88%
Vantagem +0.569%
Kelly +0.630%
Crescimento +0.037%
pressupondo odds máximas de 10.33
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.66%10.27%10.40%11.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.508.728.5010.3313.33%11.47%11.76%9.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 15.66%6.39odd justa
EV +9.63%
Vantagem +1.38%
Kelly +1.60%
Crescimento +0.154%
pressupondo odds máximas de 7.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.49%15.38%15.79%17.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.005.715.507.0020.00%17.50%18.18%14.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (29 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.38%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.68%G +0.000% | 10.33I 9.68%NM 9.14%EV +5.88%E +0.569%K +0.630%G +0.037% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.49%EV +9.63%E +1.38%K +1.60%G +0.154% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.74%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.82%EV -7.96%E -0.886%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 6.73I 14.86%NM 14.44%EV +5.40%E +0.802%K +0.942%G +0.051% | 2.9% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -12.57%E -10.66%K -69.86%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV +2.50%E +0.250%K +0.277%G +0.007% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV +1.80%E +0.276%K +0.327%G +0.006% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.74%EV -13.32%E -11.38%K -78.32%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -2.63%E -0.277%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV +1.80%E +0.276%K +0.327%G +0.006% | 11.4% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.46%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -2.63%E -0.277%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.85%EV -2.90%E -0.468%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 17:05 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -2.63%E -0.277%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -6.03%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -11.09%E -9.24%K -55.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -6.03%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-07 17:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.09%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -18.00%E -2.25%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.49%EV -7.60%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV -7.75%E -0.862%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -9.95%E -1.73%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.42%EV -5.91%E -4.65%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.75%E -0.862%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -9.95%E -1.73%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.83%EV -8.87%E -7.21%K -38.56%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.38%EV -10.32%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -9.95%E -1.73%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.75%EV -8.87%E -7.21%K -38.56%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.55%EV -20.57%E -2.65%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.70%EV -10.73%E -1.88%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-07 16:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.65%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.68%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.45%EV -11.85%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 15.90%EV -11.52%E -2.04%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -5.91%E -4.65%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -5.91%E -4.65%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -5.91%E -4.65%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -5.91%E -4.65%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -5.91%E -4.65%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -5.91%E -4.65%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.68%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 16:00 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.68%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.68%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.68%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 16:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.38%EV -6.65%E -5.28%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -15.43%E -2.86%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.38%EV -6.65%E -5.28%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -15.43%E -2.86%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.04%EV -8.87%E -7.21%K -38.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.08%EV -18.00%E -2.25%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.88%EV -17.78%E -3.39%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-06 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.04%EV -8.87%E -7.21%K -38.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.08%EV -18.00%E -2.25%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.88%EV -17.78%E -3.39%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-06 15:31 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.56%EV -23.13%E -3.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -21.70%E -4.34%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-07 17:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.02%EV -13.32%E -11.38%K -78.32%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV +2.50%E +0.250%K +0.277%G +0.007% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.32%EV -21.70%E -4.34%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (5)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.19% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.68% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.13% | 0.2% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.19% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.68% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.13% | 0.2% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.19% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.68% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.13% | 0.2% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.22% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.92% | 1.8% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.66% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.74% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |