L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Nassr v Neom
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Nassr (Local)
Prévision 74.09%1.35cote équitable
EV -3.68%
Avantage -2.83%
Kelly -12.28%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.09%74.35%73.82%77.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.241.231.3085.47%80.73%81.30%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Neom (Visiteur)
Prévision 10.25%9.76cote équitable
EV +5.88%
Avantage +0.569%
Kelly +0.630%
Croissance +0.037%
avec la cote maximale 10.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.66%10.27%10.40%11.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.508.728.5010.3313.33%11.47%11.76%9.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 15.66%6.39cote équitable
EV +9.63%
Avantage +1.38%
Kelly +1.60%
Croissance +0.154%
avec la cote maximale 7.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.49%15.38%15.79%17.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.715.507.0020.00%17.50%18.18%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.38%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.68%G +0.000% | 10.33I 9.68%NM 9.14%EV +5.88%E +0.569%K +0.630%G +0.037% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.49%EV +9.63%E +1.38%K +1.60%G +0.154% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.74%EV -3.68%E -2.83%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.82%EV -7.96%E -0.886%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 6.73I 14.86%NM 14.44%EV +5.40%E +0.802%K +0.942%G +0.051% | 2.9% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -12.57%E -10.66%K -69.86%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV +2.50%E +0.250%K +0.277%G +0.007% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV +1.80%E +0.276%K +0.327%G +0.006% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.74%EV -13.32%E -11.38%K -78.32%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -2.63%E -0.277%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV +1.80%E +0.276%K +0.327%G +0.006% | 11.4% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.46%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -2.63%E -0.277%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.85%EV -2.90%E -0.468%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 17:05 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -2.63%E -0.277%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -6.03%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -11.09%E -9.24%K -55.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -6.03%E -1.01%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-07 17:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.09%EV -7.39%E -5.91%K -29.55%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -18.00%E -2.25%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.49%EV -7.60%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -5.17%E -4.04%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV -7.75%E -0.862%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -9.95%E -1.73%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.42%EV -5.91%E -4.65%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.75%E -0.862%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -9.95%E -1.73%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.83%EV -8.87%E -7.21%K -38.56%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.38%EV -10.32%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -9.95%E -1.73%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.75%EV -8.87%E -7.21%K -38.56%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.55%EV -20.57%E -2.65%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.70%EV -10.73%E -1.88%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-07 16:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.65%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.68%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.45%EV -11.85%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 15.90%EV -11.52%E -2.04%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| Unibet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -5.91%E -4.65%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -5.91%E -4.65%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -5.91%E -4.65%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -5.91%E -4.65%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -5.91%E -4.65%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -5.91%E -4.65%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.68%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 16:00 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.68%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.68%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.68%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.87%E -2.52%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 16:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.38%EV -6.65%E -5.28%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -15.43%E -2.86%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.38%EV -6.65%E -5.28%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -12.88%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.89%EV -15.43%E -2.86%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-06 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.04%EV -8.87%E -7.21%K -38.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.08%EV -18.00%E -2.25%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.88%EV -17.78%E -3.39%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-06 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.04%EV -8.87%E -7.21%K -38.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.08%EV -18.00%E -2.25%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.88%EV -17.78%E -3.39%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-06 15:31 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -9.61%E -7.88%K -43.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.56%EV -23.13%E -3.08%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -21.70%E -4.34%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-07 17:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.02%EV -13.32%E -11.38%K -78.32%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV +2.50%E +0.250%K +0.277%G +0.007% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.32%EV -21.70%E -4.34%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.19% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.68% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.13% | 0.2% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.19% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.68% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.13% | 0.2% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.19% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.68% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.13% | 0.2% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.22% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.92% | 1.8% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.66% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.74% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |