Language:English
Al-Ittihad v Damac
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Ittihad (Local)
Prediction 64.30%1.56fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -7.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.43%64.30%64.34%67.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.421.421.5073.53%70.44%70.42%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Damac (Visit)
Prediction 15.35%6.51fair odd
EV +13.45%
Edge +1.82%
Kelly +2.10%
Growth +0.283%
assuming max odds 7.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.13%15.35%15.39%16.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.405.986.007.3918.52%16.72%16.67%13.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.35%4.92fair odd
EV +1.12%
Edge +0.225%
Kelly +0.281%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 4.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.52%20.35%20.28%22.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.324.204.9726.67%23.16%23.81%20.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Ittihad (Local): 64.30%; Damac (Visit): 15.35%; Draw: 20.35%. For Damac (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.51. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.39, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.36%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 7.39I 13.53%NM 13.13%EV +13.45%E +1.82%K +2.10%G +0.283% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.52%EV +1.12%E +0.225%K +0.281%G +0.003% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -9.98%E -7.13%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -0.217%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -0.217%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -8.45%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -0.217%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -10.48%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.04%EV -4.83%E -3.26%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.36%EV -5.28%E -0.856%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -3.54%E -2.36%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -6.76%E -4.66%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.98%E -7.13%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.60%EV -10.96%E -1.89%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.60%EV -10.96%E -1.89%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.76%EV -8.69%E -6.12%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.50%EV -11.73%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -16.58%E -4.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.76%EV -8.69%E -6.12%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.50%EV -11.73%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -16.58%E -4.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.76%EV -9.98%E -7.13%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.28%EV -11.73%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -18.62%E -4.65%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-10 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.01%EV -8.69%E -6.12%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -14.03%E -2.51%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.98%E -7.13%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -15.57%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 63.48%EV -11.90%E -8.69%K -32.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.81%EV -15.57%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-10 17:58 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -9.98%E -7.13%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -15.57%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -23.70%E -6.32%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-10 17:53 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.51%EV -9.33%E -6.62%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -17.10%E -3.17%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -8.45%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.00% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.79% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.93% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27% | 1.7% | 2026-05-10 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.79% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.93% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27% | 1.7% | 2026-05-10 18:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.62% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.73% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.64% | 2.0% | 2026-05-10 18:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.71% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.72% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 18:00 |