L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Ittihad v Damac
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Ittihad (Local)
Prévision 64.30%1.56cote équitable
EV -3.54%
Avantage -2.36%
Kelly -7.09%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.43%64.30%64.34%67.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.421.421.5073.53%70.44%70.42%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Damac (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.35%6.51cote équitable
EV +13.45%
Avantage +1.82%
Kelly +2.10%
Croissance +0.283%
avec la cote maximale 7.39
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.13%15.35%15.39%16.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.405.986.007.3918.52%16.72%16.67%13.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 20.35%4.92cote équitable
EV +1.12%
Avantage +0.225%
Kelly +0.281%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 4.97
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.52%20.35%20.28%22.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.324.204.9726.67%23.16%23.81%20.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.36%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 7.39I 13.53%NM 13.13%EV +13.45%E +1.82%K +2.10%G +0.283% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.52%EV +1.12%E +0.225%K +0.281%G +0.003% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -9.98%E -7.13%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -0.217%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -0.217%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -8.45%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -0.217%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -10.48%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.04%EV -4.83%E -3.26%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.36%EV -5.28%E -0.856%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -3.54%E -2.36%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -6.76%E -4.66%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Unibet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.98%E -7.13%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.60%EV -10.96%E -1.89%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.60%EV -10.96%E -1.89%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.76%EV -8.69%E -6.12%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.50%EV -11.73%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -16.58%E -4.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.76%EV -8.69%E -6.12%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.50%EV -11.73%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -16.58%E -4.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.76%EV -9.98%E -7.13%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.28%EV -11.73%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -18.62%E -4.65%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-10 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.01%EV -8.69%E -6.12%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -14.03%E -2.51%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.98%E -7.13%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -15.57%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 63.48%EV -11.90%E -8.69%K -32.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.81%EV -15.57%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-10 17:58 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -9.98%E -7.13%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -15.57%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -23.70%E -6.32%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-10 17:53 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.51%EV -9.33%E -6.62%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -17.10%E -3.17%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -8.45%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.00% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.79% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.93% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27% | 1.7% | 2026-05-10 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.79% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.93% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27% | 1.7% | 2026-05-10 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.62% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.73% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.64% | 2.0% | 2026-05-10 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.71% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.72% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 18:00 |