La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Al-Ittihad v Damac
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Ittihad (Local)
Predicción 64.30%1.56momio equitativo
EV -3.54%
Ventaja -2.36%
Kelly -7.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.43%64.30%64.34%67.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.421.421.5073.53%70.44%70.42%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Damac (Visitante)
Predicción 15.35%6.51momio equitativo
EV +13.45%
Ventaja +1.82%
Kelly +2.10%
Crecimiento +0.283%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.13%15.35%15.39%16.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.405.986.007.3918.52%16.72%16.67%13.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.35%4.92momio equitativo
EV +1.12%
Ventaja +0.225%
Kelly +0.281%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.52%20.35%20.28%22.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.324.204.9726.67%23.16%23.81%20.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.36%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 7.39I 13.53%NM 13.13%EV +13.45%E +1.82%K +2.10%G +0.283% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.52%EV +1.12%E +0.225%K +0.281%G +0.003% | 3.1% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -9.98%E -7.13%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -0.217%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -0.217%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -8.45%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -0.217%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -10.48%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.04%EV -4.83%E -3.26%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.36%EV -5.28%E -0.856%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -3.54%E -2.36%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -6.76%E -4.66%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Unibet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.98%E -7.13%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.60%EV -10.96%E -1.89%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.60%EV -10.96%E -1.89%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-10 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.76%EV -8.69%E -6.12%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.50%EV -11.73%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -16.58%E -4.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.76%EV -8.69%E -6.12%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.50%EV -11.73%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -16.58%E -4.04%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.76%EV -9.98%E -7.13%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.28%EV -11.73%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -18.62%E -4.65%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-10 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.01%EV -8.69%E -6.12%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -14.03%E -2.51%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.98%E -7.13%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -15.57%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 63.48%EV -11.90%E -8.69%K -32.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.81%EV -15.57%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-10 17:58 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -9.98%E -7.13%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -15.57%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -23.70%E -6.32%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-10 17:53 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.51%EV -9.33%E -6.62%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -17.10%E -3.17%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -8.45%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.00% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.79% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.93% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27% | 1.7% | 2026-05-10 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.79% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.93% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27% | 1.7% | 2026-05-10 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.62% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.73% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.64% | 2.0% | 2026-05-10 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.71% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.72% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 18:00 |