La scuola delle quote

Al-Ittihad v Damac

Inizio: 2026-05-10 18:02 UTC

Finale: Al-Ittihad 2–1 Damac

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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31 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Ittihad (Casa)

Previsione 64.30%1.56quota equa
EV -3.54%
Vantaggio -2.36%
Kelly -7.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.43%64.30%64.34%67.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.421.421.5073.53%70.44%70.42%66.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Damac (Trasferta)

Previsione 15.35%6.51quota equa
EV +13.45%
Vantaggio +1.82%
Kelly +2.10%
Crescita +0.283%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.39

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.13%15.35%15.39%16.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.405.986.007.3918.52%16.72%16.67%13.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 20.35%4.92quota equa
EV +1.12%
Vantaggio +0.225%
Kelly +0.281%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.97

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.52%20.35%20.28%22.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.324.204.9726.67%23.16%23.81%20.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 67.36%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.83%G +0.000%7.39I 13.53%NM 13.13%EV +13.45%E +1.82%K +2.10%G +0.283%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.52%EV +1.12%E +0.225%K +0.281%G +0.003%3.1%2026-05-10 17:59
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -9.98%E -7.13%K -24.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -0.217%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 17:59
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -0.217%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -8.45%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 17:59
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -0.217%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -10.48%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-10 17:59
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 64.04%EV -4.83%E -3.26%K -10.06%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.36%EV -5.28%E -0.856%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 17:59
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -3.54%E -2.36%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:59
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -6.76%E -4.66%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 17:59
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 17:59
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 18:00
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 17:59
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 17:59
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 17:59
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -5.47%E -3.72%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 17:59
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 17:59
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.98%E -7.13%K -24.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 17:59
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-10 17:59
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-10 17:59
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-10 17:59
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-10 17:59
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -12.55%E -9.23%K -34.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -7.89%E -1.32%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-10 17:59
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.60%EV -10.96%E -1.89%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -7.40%E -5.14%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.60%EV -10.96%E -1.89%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 18:00
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 62.76%EV -8.69%E -6.12%K -20.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.50%EV -11.73%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -16.58%E -4.04%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-10 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 62.76%EV -8.69%E -6.12%K -20.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.50%EV -11.73%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -16.58%E -4.04%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-10 17:59
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.76%EV -9.98%E -7.13%K -24.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.28%EV -11.73%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -18.62%E -4.65%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-10 18:00
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.01%EV -8.69%E -6.12%K -20.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -14.03%E -2.51%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 17:59
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -9.98%E -7.13%K -24.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -15.57%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-10 17:59
Unibet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 63.48%EV -11.90%E -8.69%K -32.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.81%EV -15.57%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-10 17:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -9.98%E -7.13%K -24.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -15.57%E -2.83%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -23.70%E -6.32%K -8.62%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-10 17:53
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.51%EV -9.33%E -6.62%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -17.10%E -3.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -8.45%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-10 17:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%1.2%2026-05-10 17:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.79%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.93%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27%1.7%2026-05-10 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.79%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.93%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27%1.7%2026-05-10 18:00
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 67.62%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.73%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.64%2.0%2026-05-10 18:00
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.71%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.72%3.5%2026-05-10 18:00