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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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Al-Ittihad v Al-Nassr

開賽時間： 2026-09-05 18:00 UTC

最終賽果： Al-Ittihad 2–1 Al-Nassr

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

30 家博彩公司 (6 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Al-Ittihad (主隊)

預測 19.24%5.20公平賠率
EV +9.66%
優勢 +1.69%
Kelly +2.05%
成長率 +0.198%

假設最高賠率為 5.70

博彩公司預測分布
16.12%18.85%19.35%21.14%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.004.884.965.7025.00%20.50%20.16%17.54%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Al-Nassr (客隊)

預測 60.39%1.66公平賠率
EV -6.40%
優勢 -4.13%
Kelly -11.64%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.55

博彩公司預測分布
58.72%60.57%60.44%62.51%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.381.481.501.5572.46%67.48%66.89%64.52%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 20.38%4.91公平賠率
EV -4.03%
優勢 -0.856%
Kelly -1.09%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.71

博彩公司預測分布
19.66%20.58%20.21%22.04%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.004.384.404.7125.00%22.85%22.73%21.23%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Al-Ittihad (主隊)：19.24%；Al-Nassr (客隊)：60.39%；和局：20.38%。 對於「Al-Ittihad (主隊)」，該估計相當於5.20的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為5.70，對應+9.66%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (30 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
Tipico (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV +9.66%E +1.69%K +2.05%G +0.198%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -11.23%E -7.64%K -23.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -12.38%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 17:15
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV +0.999%E +0.190%K +0.235%G +0.002%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.27%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 12:45
SportsBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -1.89%E -0.370%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.45%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 12:50
Unibet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -1.89%E -0.370%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -11.23%E -7.64%K -23.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 07:44
Unibet (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -1.89%E -0.370%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -11.23%E -7.64%K -23.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 07:45
Unibet (NL)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -1.89%E -0.370%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -11.23%E -7.64%K -23.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 07:44
Grosvenor🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -1.89%E -0.370%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -11.23%E -7.64%K -23.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 07:44
ATG (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -1.89%E -0.370%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -11.23%E -7.64%K -23.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 07:45
Svenska Spel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -1.89%E -0.370%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -11.23%E -7.64%K -23.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 07:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -3.81%E -0.762%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -3.81%E -0.762%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.18%EV -8.21%E -5.40%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -3.81%E -0.762%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-03 12:50
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -3.81%E -0.762%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 12:50
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -3.81%E -0.762%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -3.81%E -0.762%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.93%EV -13.65%E -9.54%K -31.74%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.36%EV -11.36%E -2.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-03 20:15
1xBet🎯4.92I 20.33%NM 18.96%EV -5.35%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.58%EV -7.01%E -4.55%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.46%EV -7.09%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 08:55
LiveScore Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.89%EV -5.73%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 61.73%EV -14.25%E -10.04%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.38%EV -12.38%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-03 20:15
Virgin Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.89%EV -5.73%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 61.73%EV -14.25%E -10.04%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.38%EV -12.38%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-03 20:15
PMU (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 17.79%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 61.88%EV -16.67%E -12.08%K -43.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.33%EV -14.42%E -3.43%K -4.51%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-03 20:15
Pinnacle🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -8.62%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.72%EV -7.61%E -4.97%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.72%EV -4.03%E -0.856%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 07:20
Sky Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -8.62%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -14.42%E -3.43%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-03 12:50
Unibet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -9.58%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.24%EV -13.65%E -9.54%K -31.74%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.13%EV -11.36%E -2.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-03 18:09
Betclic (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.94%EV -8.21%E -5.40%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 09:08
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.69%EV -10.02%E -6.73%K -20.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 17:10
888sport🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -18.50%E -4.62%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-03 12:50
William Hill🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -18.50%E -4.62%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-03 12:50
888sport (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -18.50%E -4.62%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-03 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -18.50%E -4.62%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-03 12:50
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 19.86%EV -15.35%E -3.49%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.27%EV -12.44%E -8.58%K -27.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.86%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-03 17:10
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.14%EV -23.05%E -5.76%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 58.72%EV -13.04%E -9.06%K -29.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.13%EV -14.42%E -3.43%K -4.51%G +0.000%18.3%2026-09-03 07:19
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Kalshi◎5.56I 17.99%NM 17.97%1.61I 62.11%NM 62.05%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%0.1%2026-09-04 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.27%5.0%2026-09-04 07:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.27%5.0%2026-09-04 06:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.27%5.0%2026-09-04 06:25
Smarkets◎4.90I 20.41%NM 18.83%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.11%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%8.4%2026-09-04 10:55