Langue:Français
Al-Ittihad v Al-Nassr
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Ittihad (Local)
Prévision 19.24%5.20cote équitable
EV +9.66%
Avantage +1.69%
Kelly +2.05%
Croissance +0.198%
avec la cote maximale 5.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.12%18.85%19.35%21.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.884.965.7025.00%20.50%20.16%17.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Al-Nassr (Visiteur)
Prévision 60.39%1.66cote équitable
EV -6.40%
Avantage -4.13%
Kelly -11.64%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.72%60.57%60.44%62.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.481.501.5572.46%67.48%66.89%64.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 20.38%4.91cote équitable
EV -4.03%
Avantage -0.856%
Kelly -1.09%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.71
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.66%20.58%20.21%22.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.384.404.7125.00%22.85%22.73%21.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Al-Ittihad (Local) : 19.24% ; Al-Nassr (Visiteur) : 60.39% ; Match nul : 20.38%. Pour Al-Ittihad (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.20. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.70, soit une espérance positive de +9.66%.
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV +9.66%E +1.69%K +2.05%G +0.198% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -11.23%E -7.64%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -12.38%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV +0.999%E +0.190%K +0.235%G +0.002% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.27%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 12:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -1.89%E -0.370%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.45%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-03 12:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -1.89%E -0.370%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -11.23%E -7.64%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 07:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -1.89%E -0.370%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -11.23%E -7.64%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -1.89%E -0.370%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -11.23%E -7.64%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 07:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -1.89%E -0.370%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -11.23%E -7.64%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 07:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -1.89%E -0.370%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -11.23%E -7.64%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -1.89%E -0.370%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -11.23%E -7.64%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 07:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -3.81%E -0.762%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 12:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -3.81%E -0.762%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.18%EV -8.21%E -5.40%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 18:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -3.81%E -0.762%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-03 12:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -3.81%E -0.762%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 12:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -3.81%E -0.762%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 12:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -3.81%E -0.762%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.93%EV -13.65%E -9.54%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.36%EV -11.36%E -2.61%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-03 20:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.92I 20.33%NM 18.96%EV -5.35%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.58%EV -7.01%E -4.55%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 20.46%EV -7.09%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 08:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.89%EV -5.73%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.73%EV -14.25%E -10.04%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.38%EV -12.38%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-03 20:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.89%EV -5.73%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.73%EV -14.25%E -10.04%K -33.93%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.38%EV -12.38%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-03 20:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.79%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 61.88%EV -16.67%E -12.08%K -43.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.33%EV -14.42%E -3.43%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-09-03 20:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -8.62%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.72%EV -7.61%E -4.97%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.72%EV -4.03%E -0.856%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 07:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -8.62%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -14.42%E -3.43%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-03 12:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -9.58%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.24%EV -13.65%E -9.54%K -31.74%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.13%EV -11.36%E -2.61%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-03 18:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.94%EV -8.21%E -5.40%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 09:08 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.69%EV -10.02%E -6.73%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -18.50%E -4.62%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-03 12:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -18.50%E -4.62%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-03 12:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -18.50%E -4.62%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-03 12:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -18.50%E -4.62%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-03 12:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.86%EV -15.35%E -3.49%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.27%EV -12.44%E -8.58%K -27.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.86%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-03 17:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.14%EV -23.05%E -5.76%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.72%EV -13.04%E -9.06%K -29.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.13%EV -14.42%E -3.43%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-09-03 07:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.97% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 62.05% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98% | 0.1% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.27% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.27% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 06:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.27% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 06:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.83% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.11% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 10:55 |