Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Ittihad v Al-Nassr

Inizio: 2026-09-05 18:00 UTC

Finale: Al-Ittihad 2–1 Al-Nassr

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Ittihad (Casa)

Previsione 19.24%5.20quota equa
EV +9.66%
Vantaggio +1.69%
Kelly +2.05%
Crescita +0.198%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.12%18.85%19.35%21.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.884.965.7025.00%20.50%20.16%17.54%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Al-Nassr (Trasferta)

Previsione 60.39%1.66quota equa
EV -6.40%
Vantaggio -4.13%
Kelly -11.64%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.72%60.57%60.44%62.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.381.481.501.5572.46%67.48%66.89%64.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 20.38%4.91quota equa
EV -4.03%
Vantaggio -0.856%
Kelly -1.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.66%20.58%20.21%22.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.384.404.7125.00%22.85%22.73%21.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Al-Ittihad (Casa): 19.24%; Al-Nassr (Trasferta): 60.39%; Pareggio: 20.38%. Per Al-Ittihad (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.20. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.70, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +9.66%.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV +9.66%E +1.69%K +2.05%G +0.198%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -11.23%E -7.64%K -23.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -12.38%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 17:15
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV +0.999%E +0.190%K +0.235%G +0.002%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.27%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 12:45
SportsBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -1.89%E -0.370%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.45%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 12:50
Unibet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -1.89%E -0.370%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -11.23%E -7.64%K -23.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 07:44
Unibet (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -1.89%E -0.370%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -11.23%E -7.64%K -23.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 07:45
Unibet (NL)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -1.89%E -0.370%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -11.23%E -7.64%K -23.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 07:44
Grosvenor🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -1.89%E -0.370%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -11.23%E -7.64%K -23.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 07:44
ATG (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -1.89%E -0.370%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -11.23%E -7.64%K -23.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 07:45
Svenska Spel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.77%EV -1.89%E -0.370%K -0.460%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -11.23%E -7.64%K -23.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 07:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -3.81%E -0.762%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -6.40%E -4.13%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -3.81%E -0.762%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.18%EV -8.21%E -5.40%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -3.81%E -0.762%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-03 12:50
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -3.81%E -0.762%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 12:50
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -3.81%E -0.762%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -3.81%E -0.762%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.93%EV -13.65%E -9.54%K -31.74%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.36%EV -11.36%E -2.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-03 20:15
1xBet🎯4.92I 20.33%NM 18.96%EV -5.35%E -1.09%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.58%EV -7.01%E -4.55%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.46%EV -7.09%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 08:55
LiveScore Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.89%EV -5.73%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 61.73%EV -14.25%E -10.04%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.38%EV -12.38%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-03 20:15
Virgin Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.89%EV -5.73%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 61.73%EV -14.25%E -10.04%K -33.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.38%EV -12.38%E -2.88%K -3.75%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-03 20:15
PMU (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 17.79%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 61.88%EV -16.67%E -12.08%K -43.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.33%EV -14.42%E -3.43%K -4.51%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-03 20:15
Pinnacle🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -8.62%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.72%EV -7.61%E -4.97%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.72%EV -4.03%E -0.856%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 07:20
Sky Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -8.62%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -14.42%E -3.43%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-03 12:50
Unibet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.63%EV -9.58%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.24%EV -13.65%E -9.54%K -31.74%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.13%EV -11.36%E -2.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-03 18:09
Betclic (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.94%EV -8.21%E -5.40%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -8.31%E -1.85%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 09:08
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.69%EV -10.02%E -6.73%K -20.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -6.27%E -1.36%K -1.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 17:10
888sport🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -18.50%E -4.62%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-03 12:50
William Hill🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -18.50%E -4.62%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-03 12:50
888sport (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -18.50%E -4.62%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-03 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -11.51%E -2.50%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -9.42%E -6.28%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -18.50%E -4.62%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-03 12:50
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 19.86%EV -15.35%E -3.49%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.27%EV -12.44%E -8.58%K -27.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.86%EV -10.35%E -2.35%K -3.04%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-03 17:10
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.14%EV -23.05%E -5.76%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 58.72%EV -13.04%E -9.06%K -29.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.13%EV -14.42%E -3.43%K -4.51%G +0.000%18.3%2026-09-03 07:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎5.56I 17.99%NM 17.97%1.61I 62.11%NM 62.05%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%0.1%2026-09-04 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.27%5.0%2026-09-04 07:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.27%5.0%2026-09-04 06:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.27%5.0%2026-09-04 06:25
Smarkets◎4.90I 20.41%NM 18.83%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.11%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.06%8.4%2026-09-04 10:55