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Al-Ittihad v Al-Hazem
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Ittihad (Local)
Prediction 68.54%1.46fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -2.89%
Kelly -10.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.59%68.55%68.68%71.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.311.301.4080.65%76.20%76.92%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Hazem (Visit)
Prediction 13.41%7.46fair odd
EV +10.26%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.146%
assuming max odds 8.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.15%13.35%13.25%14.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.307.508.2216.67%13.69%13.33%12.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.04%5.54fair odd
EV +0.505%
Edge +0.091%
Kelly +0.110%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 5.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.01%18.11%18.07%20.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.335.035.105.5723.09%19.90%19.61%17.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Ittihad (Local): 68.54%; Al-Hazem (Visit): 13.41%; Draw: 18.04%. For Al-Hazem (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.46. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.26%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.86%EV -4.73%E -3.40%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 8.22I 12.17%NM 11.81%EV +10.26%E +1.25%K +1.42%G +0.146% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.32%EV -4.37%E -0.824%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-03 16:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.25%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 8.07I 12.39%NM 11.74%EV +8.25%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096% | 5.57I 17.95%NM 17.01%EV +0.505%E +0.091%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 16:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -12.27%E -9.58%K -43.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -6.17%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -12.27%E -9.58%K -43.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -6.17%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.36%EV -14.32%E -11.46%K -57.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49%EV -7.98%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.36%EV -14.32%E -11.46%K -57.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49%EV -7.98%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +0.602%E +0.080%K +0.093%G +0.001% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +0.602%E +0.080%K +0.093%G +0.001% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +0.602%E +0.080%K +0.093%G +0.001% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 70.75%EV -15.01%E -12.10%K -62.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV +0.602%E +0.080%K +0.093%G +0.001% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.58%EV -9.52%E -7.22%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.76%EV -3.42%E -0.475%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -6.17%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -6.10%E -0.872%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -6.10%E -0.872%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-03 16:11 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -6.10%E -0.872%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.29%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.05%EV -7.45%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.66%EV -7.98%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-03 16:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.08%EV -8.15%E -6.08%K -23.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -7.98%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-03 16:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-03 16:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-03 16:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -13.39%E -2.79%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-03 16:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.66%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -21.87%E -5.05%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.62%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -16.17%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -19.52%E -3.25%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -14.29%E -3.01%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.00% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 0.6% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.00% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 0.6% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.58% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64% | 1.9% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.84% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.33% | 3.0% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |