La scuola delle quote

Al-Ittihad v Al-Hazem

Inizio: 2026-04-03 16:19 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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30 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Ittihad (Casa)

Previsione 68.54%1.46quota equa
EV -4.04%
Vantaggio -2.89%
Kelly -10.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.59%68.55%68.68%71.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.241.311.301.4080.65%76.20%76.92%71.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Hazem (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.41%7.46quota equa
EV +10.26%
Vantaggio +1.25%
Kelly +1.42%
Crescita +0.146%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.22

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.15%13.35%13.25%14.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.007.307.508.2216.67%13.69%13.33%12.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 18.04%5.54quota equa
EV +0.505%
Vantaggio +0.091%
Kelly +0.110%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.01%18.11%18.07%20.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.335.035.105.5723.09%19.90%19.61%17.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.86%EV -4.73%E -3.40%K -12.12%G +0.000%8.22I 12.17%NM 11.81%EV +10.26%E +1.25%K +1.42%G +0.146%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.32%EV -4.37%E -0.824%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-03 16:14
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 71.25%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000%8.07I 12.39%NM 11.74%EV +8.25%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096%5.57I 17.95%NM 17.01%EV +0.505%E +0.091%K +0.110%G +0.001%5.5%2026-04-03 16:14
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 16:15
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 16:15
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 16:15
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 16:15
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 16:15
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 16:15
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -12.27%E -9.58%K -43.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -6.17%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -12.27%E -9.58%K -43.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -6.17%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 16:15
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.36%EV -14.32%E -11.46%K -57.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49%EV -7.98%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-03 16:15
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.36%EV -14.32%E -11.46%K -57.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49%EV -7.98%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-03 16:15
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +0.602%E +0.080%K +0.093%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +0.602%E +0.080%K +0.093%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 16:15
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +0.602%E +0.080%K +0.093%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 16:15
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 70.75%EV -15.01%E -12.10%K -62.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV +0.602%E +0.080%K +0.093%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-03 16:15
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.58%EV -9.52%E -7.22%K -29.76%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.76%EV -3.42%E -0.475%K -0.552%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -6.17%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 16:15
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -6.10%E -0.872%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 16:15
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -6.10%E -0.872%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 16:11
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -6.10%E -0.872%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-03 16:15
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.29%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.05%EV -7.45%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.66%EV -7.98%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-03 16:14
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.08%EV -8.15%E -6.08%K -23.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -7.98%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:15
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-03 16:14
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-03 16:15
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-03 16:14
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-03 16:14
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -13.39%E -2.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-03 16:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 66.66%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -21.87%E -5.05%K -6.57%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-03 16:15
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.62%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -16.17%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-03 16:15
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -19.52%E -3.25%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -14.29%E -3.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-03 16:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.00%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44%0.6%2026-04-03 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.00%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44%0.6%2026-04-03 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%0.9%2026-04-03 16:15
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 70.58%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64%1.9%2026-04-03 16:15
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.84%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.33%3.0%2026-04-03 16:15