L’École des cotes

Al-Ittihad v Al-Hazem

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 16:19 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

30 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Ittihad (Local)

Prévision 68.54%1.46cote équitable
EV -4.04%
Avantage -2.89%
Kelly -10.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.59%68.55%68.68%71.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.241.311.301.4080.65%76.20%76.92%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Hazem (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.41%7.46cote équitable
EV +10.26%
Avantage +1.25%
Kelly +1.42%
Croissance +0.146%

avec la cote maximale 8.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.15%13.35%13.25%14.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.307.508.2216.67%13.69%13.33%12.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.04%5.54cote équitable
EV +0.505%
Avantage +0.091%
Kelly +0.110%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 5.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.01%18.11%18.07%20.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.335.035.105.5723.09%19.90%19.61%17.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.86%EV -4.73%E -3.40%K -12.12%G +0.000%8.22I 12.17%NM 11.81%EV +10.26%E +1.25%K +1.42%G +0.146%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.32%EV -4.37%E -0.824%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-03 16:14
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 71.25%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000%8.07I 12.39%NM 11.74%EV +8.25%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096%5.57I 17.95%NM 17.01%EV +0.505%E +0.091%K +0.110%G +0.001%5.5%2026-04-03 16:14
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 16:15
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 16:15
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 16:15
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 16:15
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 16:15
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 16:15
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -12.27%E -9.58%K -43.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -6.17%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -12.27%E -9.58%K -43.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -6.17%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 16:15
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.36%EV -14.32%E -11.46%K -57.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49%EV -7.98%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-03 16:15
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.36%EV -14.32%E -11.46%K -57.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49%EV -7.98%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-03 16:15
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +0.602%E +0.080%K +0.093%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +0.602%E +0.080%K +0.093%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 16:15
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +0.602%E +0.080%K +0.093%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 16:15
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 70.75%EV -15.01%E -12.10%K -62.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV +0.602%E +0.080%K +0.093%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-03 16:15
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.58%EV -9.52%E -7.22%K -29.76%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.76%EV -3.42%E -0.475%K -0.552%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -6.17%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 16:15
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -6.10%E -0.872%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 16:15
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -6.10%E -0.872%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 16:11
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -6.10%E -0.872%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-03 16:15
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.29%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.05%EV -7.45%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.66%EV -7.98%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-03 16:14
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.08%EV -8.15%E -6.08%K -23.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -7.98%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 16:15
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-03 16:14
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-03 16:15
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-03 16:14
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-03 16:14
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -13.39%E -2.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-03 16:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 66.66%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -21.87%E -5.05%K -6.57%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-03 16:15
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.62%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -16.17%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-03 16:15
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -19.52%E -3.25%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -14.29%E -3.01%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-03 16:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.00%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44%0.6%2026-04-03 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.00%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44%0.6%2026-04-03 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%0.9%2026-04-03 16:15
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 70.58%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64%1.9%2026-04-03 16:15
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.84%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.33%3.0%2026-04-03 16:15