La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Al-Ittihad v Al-Hazem
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Ittihad (Local)
Predicción 68.54%1.46momio equitativo
EV -4.04%
Ventaja -2.89%
Kelly -10.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.59%68.55%68.68%71.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.311.301.4080.65%76.20%76.92%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Hazem (Visitante)
Predicción 13.41%7.46momio equitativo
EV +10.26%
Ventaja +1.25%
Kelly +1.42%
Crecimiento +0.146%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.15%13.35%13.25%14.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.307.508.2216.67%13.69%13.33%12.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.04%5.54momio equitativo
EV +0.505%
Ventaja +0.091%
Kelly +0.110%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.01%18.11%18.07%20.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.335.035.105.5723.09%19.90%19.61%17.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.86%EV -4.73%E -3.40%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 8.22I 12.17%NM 11.81%EV +10.26%E +1.25%K +1.42%G +0.146% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.32%EV -4.37%E -0.824%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-03 16:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.25%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 8.07I 12.39%NM 11.74%EV +8.25%E +1.02%K +1.17%G +0.096% | 5.57I 17.95%NM 17.01%EV +0.505%E +0.091%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 16:14 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -12.27%E -9.58%K -43.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -6.17%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.12%EV -12.27%E -9.58%K -43.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -6.17%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.36%EV -14.32%E -11.46%K -57.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49%EV -7.98%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.36%EV -14.32%E -11.46%K -57.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV +7.31%E +0.914%K +1.04%G +0.076% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49%EV -7.98%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +0.602%E +0.080%K +0.093%G +0.001% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -6.78%E -4.99%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +0.602%E +0.080%K +0.093%G +0.001% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +0.602%E +0.080%K +0.093%G +0.001% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 70.75%EV -15.01%E -12.10%K -62.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV +0.602%E +0.080%K +0.093%G +0.001% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.58%EV -9.52%E -7.22%K -29.76%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.76%EV -3.42%E -0.475%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -6.17%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.47%E -5.53%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -6.10%E -0.872%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -6.10%E -0.872%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -5.27%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-03 16:11 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -6.10%E -0.872%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.29%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.05%EV -7.45%E -1.08%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.66%EV -7.98%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-03 16:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.08%EV -8.15%E -6.08%K -23.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -7.98%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-03 16:14 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-03 16:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -18.80%E -4.18%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-03 16:14 |
| Sky Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -13.39%E -2.79%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-03 16:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.66%EV -10.89%E -8.38%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -12.81%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.01%EV -21.87%E -5.05%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.62%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV -16.17%E -2.59%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -9.78%E -1.96%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -8.84%E -6.65%K -26.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -19.52%E -3.25%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -14.29%E -3.01%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.00% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 0.6% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.00% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 0.6% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.78% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Kalshi | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.58% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64% | 1.9% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.84% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.33% | 3.0% | 2026-04-03 16:15 |