La scuola delle quote

Al-Hilal v Neom

Inizio: 2026-05-16 16:07 UTC

Finale: Al-Hilal 2–0 Neom

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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31 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Hilal (Casa)

Previsione 74.03%1.35quota equa
EV -3.76%
Vantaggio -2.89%
Kelly -12.52%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.23%74.01%74.00%77.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.151.211.211.3086.96%82.51%82.64%76.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Neom (Trasferta)

Previsione 10.50%9.53quota equa
EV +15.47%
Vantaggio +1.41%
Kelly +1.55%
Crescita +0.239%

ipotizzando la quota massima 11.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
8.41%10.54%10.76%11.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.509.599.8011.0013.33%10.43%10.20%9.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 15.47%6.46quota equa
EV +10.76%
Vantaggio +1.50%
Kelly +1.75%
Crescita +0.188%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.49%15.44%15.24%17.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.006.016.007.1620.00%16.64%16.67%13.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -11.16%E -9.30%K -55.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +15.47%E +1.41%K +1.55%G +0.239%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -0.995%E -0.156%K -0.184%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 16:05
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -11.16%E -9.30%K -55.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +15.47%E +1.41%K +1.55%G +0.239%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -0.995%E -0.156%K -0.184%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 16:05
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -11.16%E -9.30%K -55.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +15.47%E +1.41%K +1.55%G +0.239%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -0.995%E -0.156%K -0.184%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 16:05
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -11.16%E -9.30%K -55.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +15.47%E +1.41%K +1.55%G +0.239%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -0.995%E -0.156%K -0.184%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 16:05
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -11.16%E -9.30%K -55.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +15.47%E +1.41%K +1.55%G +0.239%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -0.995%E -0.156%K -0.184%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 16:05
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -11.16%E -9.30%K -55.80%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +15.47%E +1.41%K +1.55%G +0.239%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -0.995%E -0.156%K -0.184%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.85%EV -12.64%E -10.71%K -70.23%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV +10.22%E +0.974%K +1.08%G +0.110%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -3.32%E -0.531%K -0.632%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 16:05
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 76.85%EV -12.64%E -10.71%K -70.23%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV +10.22%E +0.974%K +1.08%G +0.110%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -3.32%E -0.531%K -0.632%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 16:05
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 76.39%EV -12.64%E -10.71%K -70.23%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV +10.22%E +0.974%K +1.08%G +0.110%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -7.18%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 16:05
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 76.89%EV -14.12%E -12.17%K -88.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.49%EV +10.22%E +0.974%K +1.08%G +0.110%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -5.64%E -0.924%K -1.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 15:59
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 76.89%EV -14.12%E -12.17%K -88.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.49%EV +10.22%E +0.974%K +1.08%G +0.110%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -5.64%E -0.924%K -1.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 15:59
Paddy Power1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -12.64%E -10.71%K -70.23%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV +4.97%E +0.497%K +0.553%G +0.027%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -7.18%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 16:05
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 76.53%EV -14.86%E -12.92%K -99.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV +4.97%E +0.497%K +0.553%G +0.027%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -7.18%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.02%EV -13.38%E -11.44%K -78.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV +4.97%E +0.497%K +0.553%G +0.027%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.32%EV -22.65%E -4.53%K -5.66%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-16 15:59
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.69%EV -6.72%E -5.33%K -25.84%G +0.000%9.84I 10.16%NM 9.82%EV +3.30%E +0.335%K +0.373%G +0.012%7.16I 13.97%NM 13.49%EV +10.76%E +1.50%K +1.75%G +0.188%3.5%2026-05-16 16:04
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 75.95%EV -8.20%E -6.61%K -34.16%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.61%EV +2.88%E +0.293%K +0.327%G +0.009%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.44%EV +0.861%E +0.132%K +0.156%G +0.001%6.2%2026-05-16 16:04
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.46%EV -9.68%E -7.93%K -44.00%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -0.274%E -0.029%K -0.032%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.85%EV -4.09%E -0.660%K -0.786%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 16:04
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.46%E -5.97%K -29.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -5.52%E -0.614%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 16:04
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -9.68%E -7.93%K -44.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -5.52%E -0.614%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 15:59
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -9.68%E -7.93%K -44.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -5.52%E -0.614%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 16:00
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -9.68%E -7.93%K -44.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -5.52%E -0.614%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 15:59
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -9.68%E -7.93%K -44.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -5.52%E -0.614%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-16 15:59
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 74.51%EV -11.16%E -9.30%K -55.80%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.94%EV -5.52%E -0.614%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -11.05%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 16:05
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 73.01%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -10.77%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -7.18%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 16:05
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.98%EV -5.98%E -4.71%K -22.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -10.77%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -11.05%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 16:05
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.09%EV -8.94%E -7.27%K -38.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -10.77%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -7.18%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 16:04
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 74.85%EV -10.42%E -8.61%K -49.62%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -10.77%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -3.32%E -0.531%K -0.632%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 16:05
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.28%EV -9.68%E -7.93%K -44.00%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.04%EV -14.97%E -1.85%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.68%EV -11.82%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 16:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -16.02%E -2.00%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -7.18%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 16:05
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 73.73%EV -10.42%E -8.61%K -49.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV -16.02%E -2.00%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.12%EV -8.73%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 16:05
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 72.23%EV -9.68%E -7.93%K -44.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -21.27%E -2.84%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-16 16:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 79.14%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.39%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.47%0.3%2026-05-16 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.05%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-05-16 16:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.05%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%1.2%2026-05-16 16:05
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.54%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.01%2.0%2026-05-16 16:05
Kalshi1.25I 80.00%NM 77.66%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.74%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60%3.0%2026-05-16 16:05