L’École des cotesAl-Hilal v Neom
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Hilal (Local)
Prévision 74.03%1.35cote équitable
EV -3.76%
Avantage -2.89%
Kelly -12.52%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.23%74.01%74.00%77.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.211.211.3086.96%82.51%82.64%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Neom (Visiteur)
Prévision 10.50%9.53cote équitable
EV +15.47%
Avantage +1.41%
Kelly +1.55%
Croissance +0.239%
avec la cote maximale 11.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.41%10.54%10.76%11.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.509.599.8011.0013.33%10.43%10.20%9.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 15.47%6.46cote équitable
EV +10.76%
Avantage +1.50%
Kelly +1.75%
Croissance +0.188%
avec la cote maximale 7.16
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.49%15.44%15.24%17.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.006.016.007.1620.00%16.64%16.67%13.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -11.16%E -9.30%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +15.47%E +1.41%K +1.55%G +0.239% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -0.995%E -0.156%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -11.16%E -9.30%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +15.47%E +1.41%K +1.55%G +0.239% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -0.995%E -0.156%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -11.16%E -9.30%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +15.47%E +1.41%K +1.55%G +0.239% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -0.995%E -0.156%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -11.16%E -9.30%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +15.47%E +1.41%K +1.55%G +0.239% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -0.995%E -0.156%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -11.16%E -9.30%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +15.47%E +1.41%K +1.55%G +0.239% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -0.995%E -0.156%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -11.16%E -9.30%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +15.47%E +1.41%K +1.55%G +0.239% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -0.995%E -0.156%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.85%EV -12.64%E -10.71%K -70.23%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV +10.22%E +0.974%K +1.08%G +0.110% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -3.32%E -0.531%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.85%EV -12.64%E -10.71%K -70.23%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV +10.22%E +0.974%K +1.08%G +0.110% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -3.32%E -0.531%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.39%EV -12.64%E -10.71%K -70.23%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV +10.22%E +0.974%K +1.08%G +0.110% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -7.18%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.89%EV -14.12%E -12.17%K -88.26%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.49%EV +10.22%E +0.974%K +1.08%G +0.110% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -5.64%E -0.924%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.89%EV -14.12%E -12.17%K -88.26%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.49%EV +10.22%E +0.974%K +1.08%G +0.110% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -5.64%E -0.924%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -12.64%E -10.71%K -70.23%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV +4.97%E +0.497%K +0.553%G +0.027% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -7.18%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 76.53%EV -14.86%E -12.92%K -99.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV +4.97%E +0.497%K +0.553%G +0.027% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -7.18%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.02%EV -13.38%E -11.44%K -78.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV +4.97%E +0.497%K +0.553%G +0.027% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.32%EV -22.65%E -4.53%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.69%EV -6.72%E -5.33%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 9.84I 10.16%NM 9.82%EV +3.30%E +0.335%K +0.373%G +0.012% | 7.16I 13.97%NM 13.49%EV +10.76%E +1.50%K +1.75%G +0.188% | 3.5% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.95%EV -8.20%E -6.61%K -34.16%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.61%EV +2.88%E +0.293%K +0.327%G +0.009% | 6.52I 15.34%NM 14.44%EV +0.861%E +0.132%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.46%EV -9.68%E -7.93%K -44.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -0.274%E -0.029%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.85%EV -4.09%E -0.660%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.46%E -5.97%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -5.52%E -0.614%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -9.68%E -7.93%K -44.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -5.52%E -0.614%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -9.68%E -7.93%K -44.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -5.52%E -0.614%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -9.68%E -7.93%K -44.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -5.52%E -0.614%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -9.68%E -7.93%K -44.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -5.52%E -0.614%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.51%EV -11.16%E -9.30%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.94%EV -5.52%E -0.614%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -11.05%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.01%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -10.77%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -7.18%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.98%EV -5.98%E -4.71%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -10.77%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -11.05%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.09%EV -8.94%E -7.27%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -10.77%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -7.18%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.85%EV -10.42%E -8.61%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -10.77%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -3.32%E -0.531%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.28%EV -9.68%E -7.93%K -44.00%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.04%EV -14.97%E -1.85%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.68%EV -11.82%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -16.02%E -2.00%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -7.18%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.73%EV -10.42%E -8.61%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV -16.02%E -2.00%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.12%EV -8.73%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.23%EV -9.68%E -7.93%K -44.00%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -21.27%E -2.84%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.14% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.39% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.47% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.05% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.05% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.54% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.01% | 2.0% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.66% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.74% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60% | 3.0% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |