مدرسة الاحتمالاتAl-Hilal v Neom
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Al-Hilal (المضيف)
التنبؤ 74.03%1.35السعر العادل
EV -3.76%
الأفضلية -2.89%
Kelly -12.52%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.30
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
72.23%74.01%74.00%77.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.151.211.211.3086.96%82.51%82.64%76.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Neom (الضيف)
التنبؤ 10.50%9.53السعر العادل
EV +15.47%
الأفضلية +1.41%
Kelly +1.55%
النمو +0.239%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 11.00
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
8.41%10.54%10.76%11.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
7.509.599.8011.0013.33%10.43%10.20%9.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 15.47%6.46السعر العادل
EV +10.76%
الأفضلية +1.50%
Kelly +1.75%
النمو +0.188%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.16
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.49%15.44%15.24%17.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.006.016.007.1620.00%16.64%16.67%13.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (31 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -11.16%E -9.30%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +15.47%E +1.41%K +1.55%G +0.239% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -0.995%E -0.156%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -11.16%E -9.30%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +15.47%E +1.41%K +1.55%G +0.239% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -0.995%E -0.156%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -11.16%E -9.30%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +15.47%E +1.41%K +1.55%G +0.239% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -0.995%E -0.156%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -11.16%E -9.30%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +15.47%E +1.41%K +1.55%G +0.239% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -0.995%E -0.156%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -11.16%E -9.30%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +15.47%E +1.41%K +1.55%G +0.239% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -0.995%E -0.156%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.13%EV -11.16%E -9.30%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +15.47%E +1.41%K +1.55%G +0.239% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.46%EV -0.995%E -0.156%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.85%EV -12.64%E -10.71%K -70.23%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV +10.22%E +0.974%K +1.08%G +0.110% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -3.32%E -0.531%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.85%EV -12.64%E -10.71%K -70.23%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV +10.22%E +0.974%K +1.08%G +0.110% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -3.32%E -0.531%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.39%EV -12.64%E -10.71%K -70.23%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV +10.22%E +0.974%K +1.08%G +0.110% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -7.18%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.89%EV -14.12%E -12.17%K -88.26%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.49%EV +10.22%E +0.974%K +1.08%G +0.110% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -5.64%E -0.924%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.89%EV -14.12%E -12.17%K -88.26%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.49%EV +10.22%E +0.974%K +1.08%G +0.110% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -5.64%E -0.924%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -12.64%E -10.71%K -70.23%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV +4.97%E +0.497%K +0.553%G +0.027% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -7.18%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 76.53%EV -14.86%E -12.92%K -99.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV +4.97%E +0.497%K +0.553%G +0.027% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -7.18%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.02%EV -13.38%E -11.44%K -78.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV +4.97%E +0.497%K +0.553%G +0.027% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.32%EV -22.65%E -4.53%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.69%EV -6.72%E -5.33%K -25.84%G +0.000% | 9.84I 10.16%NM 9.82%EV +3.30%E +0.335%K +0.373%G +0.012% | 7.16I 13.97%NM 13.49%EV +10.76%E +1.50%K +1.75%G +0.188% | 3.5% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.95%EV -8.20%E -6.61%K -34.16%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.61%EV +2.88%E +0.293%K +0.327%G +0.009% | 6.52I 15.34%NM 14.44%EV +0.861%E +0.132%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.46%EV -9.68%E -7.93%K -44.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -0.274%E -0.029%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.85%EV -4.09%E -0.660%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.46%E -5.97%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -5.52%E -0.614%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -9.68%E -7.93%K -44.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -5.52%E -0.614%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -9.68%E -7.93%K -44.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -5.52%E -0.614%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -9.68%E -7.93%K -44.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -5.52%E -0.614%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -9.68%E -7.93%K -44.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -5.52%E -0.614%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.51%EV -11.16%E -9.30%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.94%EV -5.52%E -0.614%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -11.05%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.01%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -10.77%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -7.18%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.98%EV -5.98%E -4.71%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -10.77%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -11.05%E -1.92%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.09%EV -8.94%E -7.27%K -38.87%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -10.77%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -7.18%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.85%EV -10.42%E -8.61%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -10.77%E -1.27%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -3.32%E -0.531%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.28%EV -9.68%E -7.93%K -44.00%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.04%EV -14.97%E -1.85%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.68%EV -11.82%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -3.76%E -2.89%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -16.02%E -2.00%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -7.18%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.73%EV -10.42%E -8.61%K -49.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV -16.02%E -2.00%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.12%EV -8.73%E -1.48%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.23%EV -9.68%E -7.93%K -44.00%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -21.27%E -2.84%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -14.92%E -2.71%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.14% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.39% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.47% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.05% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.05% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.54% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.01% | 2.0% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.66% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.74% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.60% | 3.0% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |