Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
pressupondo odds máximas de 14.30
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.22
pressupondo odds máximas de 9.00
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Al-Hazem (Local): 8.44%; Al-Hilal (Visitante): 78.59%; Empate: 12.96%. Para Al-Hazem (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 11.85. 15 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 14.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +20.73%.
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 12.01I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV +1.39%E +0.116%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.60%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV +16.68%E +1.85%K +2.09%G +0.348% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV +1.31%E +0.109%K +0.119%G +0.002% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.94%EV -11.19%E -9.90%K -86.08%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV +3.72%E +0.465%K +0.531%G +0.020% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 14.30I 6.99%NM 6.78%EV +20.73%E +1.45%K +1.56%G +0.323% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.82%EV -5.69%E -4.74%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 7.82I 12.79%NM 12.40%EV +1.38%E +0.177%K +0.203%G +0.003% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.65%EV +1.31%E +0.109%K +0.119%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.57%EV -10.40%E -9.13%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.78%EV +1.13%E +0.144%K +0.165%G +0.002% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.84%EV -4.12%E -3.37%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -2.76%E -0.369%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.84%EV -4.12%E -3.37%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -2.76%E -0.369%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV +1.31%E +0.109%K +0.119%G +0.002% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.47%EV -11.98%E -10.69%K -99.80%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -2.76%E -0.369%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 17:58 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 17:58 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -8.05%E -6.88%K -47.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -8.05%E -6.88%K -47.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 17:58 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -8.05%E -6.88%K -47.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -8.05%E -6.88%K -47.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.47%EV -9.24%E -0.860%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.52%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.32%EV -10.40%E -9.13%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.24%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.36%EV -10.40%E -9.13%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -12.49%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.24%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.36%EV -10.40%E -9.13%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -12.49%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.41%EV +1.31%E +0.109%K +0.119%G +0.002% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.41%EV -11.98%E -10.69%K -99.80%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -12.49%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -2.91%E -0.253%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -15.73%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -7.13%E -0.649%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -15.73%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -11.36%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.28%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -15.73%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.32%EV +1.31%E +0.109%K +0.119%G +0.002% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 79.16%EV -12.76%E -11.50%K -116.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.52%EV -15.73%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.64%EV -24.02%E -2.67%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 76.13%EV -10.40%E -9.13%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.23%EV -20.91%E -3.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-02 17:58 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -19.80%E -2.08%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.71%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -22.21%E -3.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.91%EV -7.13%E -0.649%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 76.28%EV -10.40%E -9.13%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.81%EV -28.69%E -5.22%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.19%EV -28.24%E -3.32%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.05%EV -8.05%E -6.88%K -47.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -28.69%E -5.22%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.61% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.82% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.43% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.24% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87% | 1.3% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.56% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.70% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 14.49I 6.90%NM 6.73% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.67% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.60% | 2.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |