مدرسة الاحتمالاتAl-Hazem v Al-Hilal
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Al-Hazem (المضيف)
التنبؤ 8.44%11.85السعر العادل
EV +20.73%
الأفضلية +1.45%
Kelly +1.56%
النمو +0.323%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 14.30
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
6.78%8.47%8.43%10.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
8.5011.2311.5014.3011.76%8.91%8.70%6.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Al-Hilal (الضيف)
التنبؤ 78.59%1.27السعر العادل
EV -4.12%
الأفضلية -3.37%
Kelly -18.71%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.22
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
74.05%78.64%78.50%81.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.111.161.161.2290.09%86.14%86.21%81.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 12.96%7.71السعر العادل
EV +16.68%
الأفضلية +1.85%
Kelly +2.09%
النمو +0.348%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 9.00
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
10.52%12.88%13.07%15.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.506.957.009.0018.18%14.39%14.29%11.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (31 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل ▼ | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 12.01I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV +1.39%E +0.116%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.60%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV +16.68%E +1.85%K +2.09%G +0.348% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV +1.31%E +0.109%K +0.119%G +0.002% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.94%EV -11.19%E -9.90%K -86.08%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV +3.72%E +0.465%K +0.531%G +0.020% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| 1xBet | 14.30I 6.99%NM 6.78%EV +20.73%E +1.45%K +1.56%G +0.323% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.82%EV -5.69%E -4.74%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 7.82I 12.79%NM 12.40%EV +1.38%E +0.177%K +0.203%G +0.003% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.65%EV +1.31%E +0.109%K +0.119%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.57%EV -10.40%E -9.13%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.78%EV +1.13%E +0.144%K +0.165%G +0.002% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Coral | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.84%EV -4.12%E -3.37%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -2.76%E -0.369%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.84%EV -4.12%E -3.37%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -2.76%E -0.369%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV +1.31%E +0.109%K +0.119%G +0.002% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.47%EV -11.98%E -10.69%K -99.80%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -2.76%E -0.369%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Unibet | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Grosvenor | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 17:58 |
| Unibet (NL) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 17:58 |
| ATG (SE) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| betfred_uk | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| 888sport | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -8.05%E -6.88%K -47.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| William Hill | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -8.05%E -6.88%K -47.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 17:58 |
| 888sport (SE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -8.05%E -6.88%K -47.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -8.05%E -6.88%K -47.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.47%EV -9.24%E -0.860%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.52%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| Sky Bet | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.32%EV -10.40%E -9.13%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.24%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.36%EV -10.40%E -9.13%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -12.49%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.24%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.36%EV -10.40%E -9.13%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -12.49%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.41%EV +1.31%E +0.109%K +0.119%G +0.002% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.41%EV -11.98%E -10.69%K -99.80%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -12.49%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -2.91%E -0.253%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -15.73%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -7.13%E -0.649%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -15.73%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -11.36%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.28%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -15.73%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.32%EV +1.31%E +0.109%K +0.119%G +0.002% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 79.16%EV -12.76%E -11.50%K -116.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.52%EV -15.73%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.64%EV -24.02%E -2.67%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 76.13%EV -10.40%E -9.13%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.23%EV -20.91%E -3.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-02 17:58 |
| Winamax (FR) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -19.80%E -2.08%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.71%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -22.21%E -3.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.91%EV -7.13%E -0.649%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 76.28%EV -10.40%E -9.13%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.81%EV -28.69%E -5.22%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.19%EV -28.24%E -3.32%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.05%EV -8.05%E -6.88%K -47.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -28.69%E -5.22%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.61% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.82% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.43% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.24% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87% | 1.3% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.56% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.70% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 14.49I 6.90%NM 6.73% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.67% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.60% | 2.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |