La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Al-Hazem v Al-Hilal
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Al-Hazem (Casa)
Previsione 8.44%11.85quota equa
EV +20.73%
Vantaggio +1.45%
Kelly +1.56%
Crescita +0.323%
ipotizzando la quota massima 14.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
6.78%8.47%8.43%10.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
8.5011.2311.5014.3011.76%8.91%8.70%6.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Al-Hilal (Trasferta)
Previsione 78.59%1.27quota equa
EV -4.12%
Vantaggio -3.37%
Kelly -18.71%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.22
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
74.05%78.64%78.50%81.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.111.161.161.2290.09%86.14%86.21%81.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 12.96%7.71quota equa
EV +16.68%
Vantaggio +1.85%
Kelly +2.09%
Crescita +0.348%
ipotizzando la quota massima 9.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.52%12.88%13.07%15.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.957.009.0018.18%14.39%14.29%11.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 12.01I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV +1.39%E +0.116%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.60%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV +16.68%E +1.85%K +2.09%G +0.348% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV +1.31%E +0.109%K +0.119%G +0.002% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.94%EV -11.19%E -9.90%K -86.08%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV +3.72%E +0.465%K +0.531%G +0.020% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| 1xBet | 14.30I 6.99%NM 6.78%EV +20.73%E +1.45%K +1.56%G +0.323% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.82%EV -5.69%E -4.74%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 7.82I 12.79%NM 12.40%EV +1.38%E +0.177%K +0.203%G +0.003% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.65%EV +1.31%E +0.109%K +0.119%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.57%EV -10.40%E -9.13%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.78%EV +1.13%E +0.144%K +0.165%G +0.002% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Coral | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.84%EV -4.12%E -3.37%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -2.76%E -0.369%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.84%EV -4.12%E -3.37%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -2.76%E -0.369%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV +1.31%E +0.109%K +0.119%G +0.002% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.47%EV -11.98%E -10.69%K -99.80%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -2.76%E -0.369%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Unibet | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Grosvenor | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 17:58 |
| Unibet (NL) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 17:58 |
| ATG (SE) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| betfred_uk | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| 888sport | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -8.05%E -6.88%K -47.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| William Hill | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -8.05%E -6.88%K -47.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 17:58 |
| 888sport (SE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -8.05%E -6.88%K -47.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -8.05%E -6.88%K -47.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.47%EV -9.24%E -0.860%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.52%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| Sky Bet | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.32%EV -10.40%E -9.13%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.24%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.36%EV -10.40%E -9.13%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -12.49%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.24%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.36%EV -10.40%E -9.13%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -12.49%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.41%EV +1.31%E +0.109%K +0.119%G +0.002% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.41%EV -11.98%E -10.69%K -99.80%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -12.49%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -2.91%E -0.253%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -15.73%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -7.13%E -0.649%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -15.73%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -11.36%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.28%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -15.73%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.32%EV +1.31%E +0.109%K +0.119%G +0.002% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 79.16%EV -12.76%E -11.50%K -116.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.52%EV -15.73%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.64%EV -24.02%E -2.67%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 76.13%EV -10.40%E -9.13%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.23%EV -20.91%E -3.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-02 17:58 |
| Winamax (FR) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -19.80%E -2.08%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.71%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -22.21%E -3.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.91%EV -7.13%E -0.649%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 76.28%EV -10.40%E -9.13%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.81%EV -28.69%E -5.22%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.19%EV -28.24%E -3.32%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.05%EV -8.05%E -6.88%K -47.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -28.69%E -5.22%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.61% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.82% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.43% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.24% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87% | 1.3% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.56% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.70% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 14.49I 6.90%NM 6.73% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.67% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.60% | 2.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |