La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Al-Hazem v Al-Hilal
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Hazem (Local)
Predicción 8.44%11.85momio equitativo
EV +20.73%
Ventaja +1.45%
Kelly +1.56%
Crecimiento +0.323%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 14.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.78%8.47%8.43%10.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.5011.2311.5014.3011.76%8.91%8.70%6.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Hilal (Visitante)
Predicción 78.59%1.27momio equitativo
EV -4.12%
Ventaja -3.37%
Kelly -18.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.05%78.64%78.50%81.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.111.161.161.2290.09%86.14%86.21%81.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 12.96%7.71momio equitativo
EV +16.68%
Ventaja +1.85%
Kelly +2.09%
Crecimiento +0.348%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.52%12.88%13.07%15.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.957.009.0018.18%14.39%14.29%11.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 12.01I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV +1.39%E +0.116%K +0.126%G +0.002% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.60%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV +16.68%E +1.85%K +2.09%G +0.348% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV +1.31%E +0.109%K +0.119%G +0.002% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.94%EV -11.19%E -9.90%K -86.08%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV +3.72%E +0.465%K +0.531%G +0.020% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| 1xBet | 14.30I 6.99%NM 6.78%EV +20.73%E +1.45%K +1.56%G +0.323% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.82%EV -5.69%E -4.74%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 7.82I 12.79%NM 12.40%EV +1.38%E +0.177%K +0.203%G +0.003% | 3.1% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.65%EV +1.31%E +0.109%K +0.119%G +0.002% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.57%EV -10.40%E -9.13%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.78%EV +1.13%E +0.144%K +0.165%G +0.002% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Coral | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.84%EV -4.12%E -3.37%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -2.76%E -0.369%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.84%EV -4.12%E -3.37%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -2.76%E -0.369%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV +1.31%E +0.109%K +0.119%G +0.002% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.47%EV -11.98%E -10.69%K -99.80%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -2.76%E -0.369%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Unibet | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Grosvenor | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 17:58 |
| Unibet (NL) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 17:58 |
| ATG (SE) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| betfred_uk | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| 888sport | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -8.05%E -6.88%K -47.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| William Hill | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -8.05%E -6.88%K -47.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 17:58 |
| 888sport (SE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -8.05%E -6.88%K -47.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.87%EV -8.05%E -6.88%K -47.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.47%EV -9.24%E -0.860%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.52%EV -8.83%E -7.61%K -55.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.01%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 17:59 |
| Sky Bet | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -15.58%E -1.56%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.32%EV -10.40%E -9.13%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -9.25%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.24%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.36%EV -10.40%E -9.13%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -12.49%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.24%EV +5.53%E +0.442%K +0.481%G +0.027% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.36%EV -10.40%E -9.13%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -12.49%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.41%EV +1.31%E +0.109%K +0.119%G +0.002% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.41%EV -11.98%E -10.69%K -99.80%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -12.49%E -1.85%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.99%EV -2.91%E -0.253%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.87%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -15.73%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -7.13%E -0.649%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -15.73%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -11.36%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.28%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -15.73%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.32%EV +1.31%E +0.109%K +0.119%G +0.002% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 79.16%EV -12.76%E -11.50%K -116.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.52%EV -15.73%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.64%EV -24.02%E -2.67%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 76.13%EV -10.40%E -9.13%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.23%EV -20.91%E -3.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-02 17:58 |
| Winamax (FR) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -19.80%E -2.08%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.71%EV -7.26%E -6.15%K -40.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -22.21%E -3.70%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.91%EV -7.13%E -0.649%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 76.28%EV -10.40%E -9.13%K -74.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.81%EV -28.69%E -5.22%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.19%EV -28.24%E -3.32%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.05%EV -8.05%E -6.88%K -47.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -28.69%E -5.22%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.61% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.82% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.43% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.24% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.87% | 1.3% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.56% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.70% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 14.49I 6.90%NM 6.73% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.67% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.60% | 2.5% | 2026-05-02 18:00 |