语言:简体中文
Al-Fayha v Al-Nassr
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Al-Fayha (主队)
预测 9.29%10.77公平赔率
EV +11.45%
优势 +0.954%
Kelly +1.04%
增长率 +0.119%
假设最高赔率为 12.00
博彩公司预测分布
8.08%9.36%9.27%10.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.5010.2410.0012.0011.76%9.77%10.00%8.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
Al-Nassr (客队)
预测 74.73%1.34公平赔率
EV -4.34%
优势 -3.39%
Kelly -15.50%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.28
博彩公司预测分布
72.86%74.63%74.60%76.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.141.211.201.2887.72%82.81%83.33%78.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 15.98%6.26公平赔率
EV +3.05%
优势 +0.473%
Kelly +0.560%
增长率 +0.017%
假设最高赔率为 6.45
博彩公司预测分布
14.63%16.02%16.13%17.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.765.806.4520.00%17.37%17.24%15.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Al-Fayha (主队)：9.29%；Al-Nassr (客队)：74.73%；平局：15.98%。 对于“Al-Fayha (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.77。 当时有14家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为12.00，对应+11.45%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%EV +11.45%E +0.954%K +1.04%G +0.119% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.45%EV -5.09%E -4.01%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.46%EV +0.338%E +0.054%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -2.54%E -0.416%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -2.54%E -0.416%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -2.54%E -0.416%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -2.54%E -0.416%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -2.54%E -0.416%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -2.54%E -0.416%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.54%EV -11.07%E -9.30%K -58.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -4.14%E -0.689%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.54%EV -11.07%E -9.30%K -58.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -4.14%E -0.689%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 18:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -11.81%E -10.01%K -65.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -4.14%E -0.689%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-28 18:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -11.81%E -10.01%K -65.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -4.14%E -0.689%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-28 18:38 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.60%EV -13.31%E -11.47%K -83.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -7.33%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.60%EV -13.31%E -11.47%K -83.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -7.33%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 10.92I 9.16%NM 8.64%EV +1.42%E +0.130%K +0.143%G +0.002% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.73%EV -8.08%E -6.57%K -35.11%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.63%EV +3.05%E +0.473%K +0.560%G +0.017% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -8.08%E -6.57%K -35.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -8.13%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.48%EV -6.58%E -5.27%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -15.32%E -2.89%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 06:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.72%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 76.50%EV -14.80%E -12.98%K -105.73%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.78%EV -5.73%E -0.972%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.02%EV -12.56%E -10.74%K -73.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.32%EV -20.11%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -11.77%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -4.34%E -3.39%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -8.13%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -11.77%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -8.13%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -11.77%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -8.82%E -7.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.11%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -11.77%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -8.82%E -7.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.11%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -11.77%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -8.82%E -7.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.11%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -11.77%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -8.82%E -7.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.11%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 9.45I 10.58%NM 9.45%EV -12.23%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.45%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.10%EV -11.33%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -4.34%E -3.39%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -8.13%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.82%E -7.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -4.14%E -0.689%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -12.12%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -21.05%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.02%EV -9.57%E -7.91%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -7.33%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-28 18:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.09% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.74% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.09% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.74% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.09% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.74% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.25% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.34% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.40% | 2.1% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |