L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Fayha v Al-Nassr
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Fayha (Local)
Prévision 9.29%10.77cote équitable
EV +11.45%
Avantage +0.954%
Kelly +1.04%
Croissance +0.119%
avec la cote maximale 12.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.08%9.36%9.27%10.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.5010.2410.0012.0011.76%9.77%10.00%8.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Nassr (Visiteur)
Prévision 74.73%1.34cote équitable
EV -4.34%
Avantage -3.39%
Kelly -15.50%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.86%74.63%74.60%76.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.141.211.201.2887.72%82.81%83.33%78.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 15.98%6.26cote équitable
EV +3.05%
Avantage +0.473%
Kelly +0.560%
Croissance +0.017%
avec la cote maximale 6.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.63%16.02%16.13%17.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.765.806.4520.00%17.37%17.24%15.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%EV +11.45%E +0.954%K +1.04%G +0.119% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.45%EV -5.09%E -4.01%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.46%EV +0.338%E +0.054%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 18:50 |
| Unibet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -2.54%E -0.416%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -2.54%E -0.416%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -2.54%E -0.416%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -2.54%E -0.416%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -2.54%E -0.416%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -2.54%E -0.416%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:19 |
| LeoVegas | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.54%EV -11.07%E -9.30%K -58.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -4.14%E -0.689%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.54%EV -11.07%E -9.30%K -58.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -4.14%E -0.689%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 18:19 |
| SportsBet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -11.81%E -10.01%K -65.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -4.14%E -0.689%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-28 18:39 |
| Paddy Power | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -11.81%E -10.01%K -65.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -4.14%E -0.689%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-28 18:38 |
| LiveScore Bet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.60%EV -13.31%E -11.47%K -83.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -7.33%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.60%EV -13.31%E -11.47%K -83.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -7.33%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 18:20 |
| Pinnacle | 10.92I 9.16%NM 8.64%EV +1.42%E +0.130%K +0.143%G +0.002% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.73%EV -8.08%E -6.57%K -35.11%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.63%EV +3.05%E +0.473%K +0.560%G +0.017% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -8.08%E -6.57%K -35.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -8.13%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.48%EV -6.58%E -5.27%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -15.32%E -2.89%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 06:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.72%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 76.50%EV -14.80%E -12.98%K -105.73%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.78%EV -5.73%E -0.972%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.02%EV -12.56%E -10.74%K -73.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.32%EV -20.11%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Coral | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -11.77%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -4.34%E -3.39%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -8.13%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| Sky Bet | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -11.77%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -8.13%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 18:40 |
| 888sport | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -11.77%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -8.82%E -7.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.11%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 18:50 |
| William Hill | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -11.77%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -8.82%E -7.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.11%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -11.77%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -8.82%E -7.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.11%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -11.77%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -8.82%E -7.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.11%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 9.45I 10.58%NM 9.45%EV -12.23%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.45%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.10%EV -11.33%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -4.34%E -3.39%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -8.13%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.82%E -7.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -4.14%E -0.689%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| BoyleSports | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -12.12%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -21.05%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.02%EV -9.57%E -7.91%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -7.33%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-28 18:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.09% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.74% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.09% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.74% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.09% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.74% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.25% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.34% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.40% | 2.1% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |