La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Al-Fayha v Al-Nassr
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Fayha (Local)
Predicción 9.29%10.77momio equitativo
EV +11.45%
Ventaja +0.954%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.119%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.08%9.36%9.27%10.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.5010.2410.0012.0011.76%9.77%10.00%8.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Nassr (Visitante)
Predicción 74.73%1.34momio equitativo
EV -4.34%
Ventaja -3.39%
Kelly -15.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.86%74.63%74.60%76.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.211.201.2887.72%82.81%83.33%78.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 15.98%6.26momio equitativo
EV +3.05%
Ventaja +0.473%
Kelly +0.560%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.63%16.02%16.13%17.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.765.806.4520.00%17.37%17.24%15.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (29 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%EV +11.45%E +0.954%K +1.04%G +0.119% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.45%EV -5.09%E -4.01%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.46%EV +0.338%E +0.054%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 18:50 |
| Unibet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -2.54%E -0.416%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -2.54%E -0.416%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -2.54%E -0.416%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -2.54%E -0.416%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -2.54%E -0.416%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.58%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -2.54%E -0.416%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:19 |
| LeoVegas | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.54%EV -11.07%E -9.30%K -58.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -4.14%E -0.689%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.54%EV -11.07%E -9.30%K -58.24%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -4.14%E -0.689%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 18:19 |
| SportsBet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -11.81%E -10.01%K -65.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -4.14%E -0.689%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-28 18:39 |
| Paddy Power | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -11.81%E -10.01%K -65.63%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -4.14%E -0.689%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-28 18:38 |
| LiveScore Bet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.60%EV -13.31%E -11.47%K -83.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -7.33%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.60%EV -13.31%E -11.47%K -83.17%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.32%EV -7.33%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 18:20 |
| Pinnacle | 10.92I 9.16%NM 8.64%EV +1.42%E +0.130%K +0.143%G +0.002% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.73%EV -8.08%E -6.57%K -35.11%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.63%EV +3.05%E +0.473%K +0.560%G +0.017% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -8.08%E -6.57%K -35.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -8.13%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.48%EV -6.58%E -5.27%K -26.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -15.32%E -2.89%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 06:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.72%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 76.50%EV -14.80%E -12.98%K -105.73%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.78%EV -5.73%E -0.972%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 74.02%EV -12.56%E -10.74%K -73.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.32%EV -20.11%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Coral | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -11.77%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -4.34%E -3.39%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -8.13%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| Sky Bet | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -11.77%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -8.13%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 18:40 |
| 888sport | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -11.77%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -8.82%E -7.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.11%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 18:50 |
| William Hill | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -11.77%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -8.82%E -7.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.11%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -11.77%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -8.82%E -7.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.11%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV -11.77%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.86%EV -8.82%E -7.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -20.11%E -4.02%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 9.45I 10.58%NM 9.45%EV -12.23%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.45%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.10%EV -11.33%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -4.34%E -3.39%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -8.13%E -1.41%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.82%E -7.23%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -4.14%E -0.689%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| BoyleSports | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -10.32%E -8.60%K -51.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -12.12%E -2.20%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -21.05%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.02%EV -9.57%E -7.91%K -45.58%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -7.33%E -1.26%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-28 18:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.09% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.74% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.09% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.74% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.09% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.74% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 0.8% | 2026-02-28 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.25% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.34% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.40% | 2.1% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |